73,000 Cases of Monkeypox Worldwide

As of October 15, we've reached 73,000 cases of Monkeypox worldwide. That's 3,000 more cases than predicted on September 27. Instead of a drop down to 250 new cases per day, we got an average of 420 new cases. However, the downward trajectory remains in place. We're currently seeing less than half as many new cases than we did in August.

The worldwide number of cases currently in hospitals can be estimated to be 4,000 based on an assumption that patients are released within 10 days.

Assuming that this trend persists, we can make the following prediction going forward:

• July 24 - 17,500 cases, 700 new cases per day, 7,000 inpatients
• August 1 - 24,000 cases, 750 new cases per day, 7,500 inpatients
• August 9 - 32,000 cases, 1,000 new cases per day, 10,000 inpatients
• August 17 - 39,000 cases, 875 new cases per day, 8,750 inpatients
• August 25 - 46,000 cases, 875 new cases per day, 8,750 inpatients
• September 2 - 53,000 cases, 875 new cases per day, 8,750 inpatients
• September 10 - 57,000 cases, 500 new cases per day, 5,000 inpatients
• September 18 - 61,000 cases, 500 new cases per day, 5,000 inpatients
• September 26 - 65,000 cases, 500 new cases per day, 5,000 inpatients
• October 4 - 69,000 cases, 500 new cases per day, 3,750 inpatients
• October 15 - 73,000 cases, 400 new cases per day, 4,000 inpatients
• October 20 - 75,000 cases, 400 new cases per day, 4,000 inpatients
• October 30 - 78,500 cases, 350 new cases per day, 3,500 inpatients
• November 9 - 82,000 cases, 350 new cases per day, 3,500 inpatients
• November 19 - 85,000 cases, 300 new cases per day, 3,000 inpatients

Pride flag

By Gilbert Baker (Vector graphics by Fibonacci) - SVG based on this image, Public Domain, Link