Thursday, October 6, 2022

Notable Deaths in September

With September behind us, we now have another month of notable deaths to analyse.

September 2022 saw 664 deaths, which is less than September 2021 with 732 deaths, but equal to September 2020 with 663 deaths. The number is well above September 2019 with 562 deaths and September 2018 with 521 deaths, indicating that we are seeing excess deaths in line with the pandemic rather than any return to normal:

  • 521 in September 2018
  • 562 in September 2019
  • 663 in September 2020
  • 732 in September 2021
  • 664 in September 2022

Deaths among those younger than 70 years of age compares to previous years as follows:

  • 22.84% in September 2018
  • 24.91% in September 2019
  • 20.06% in September 2020
  • 22.96% in September 2021
  • 23.34% in September 2022

September 2022 is second to September 2019, which was particularly severe for young people. September 2020 was the least severe, probably due to lockdowns which prevented young people from getting into accidents.

Using a severity formula that divides deaths among those older than 69 by 10 and multiplies deaths among those younger than 70 by 4 we get the following:

  • 516 in September 2018
  • 602 in September 2019
  • 585 in September 2020
  • 728 in September 2021
  • 671 in September 2022

In terms of severity, September 2021 is worst, with September 2022 a close second. This is because September 2020 saw above average deaths among old people, while September 2021 and 2022 have seen above average deaths among young people.

Interestingly, it's September 2019 that comes in third with a severity reading higher than September 2020. The lockdowns of 2020 appear to have caused a reduction of deaths among young people, only to cause a rebound in 2021 and 2022.

Notable deaths according to Wikipedia
Notable deaths according to Wikipedia

Here are the numbers:


September 2022:

  • 20s = 4 = 0.60%
  • 30s = 17 = 2.56%
  • 40s = 20 = 3.01%
  • 50s = 37 = 5.57%
  • 60s = 77 = 11.60%
  • 70s = 137= 20.63%
  • 80s = 202 = 30.42%
  • 90s = 152 = 22.89%
  • 100+ = 18 = 2.71%

Total = 664; Younger than 70 = 23.34%

September 2021:

  • 20s = 6 = 0.82%
  • 30s = 13 = 1.78%
  • 40s = 20 = 2.73%
  • 50s = 45 = 6.15%
  • 60s = 84 = 11.48%
  • 70s = 164 = 22.40%
  • 80s = 227 = 31.01%
  • 90s = 160 = 21.86%
  • 100+ = 13 = 1.78%

Total = 732; Younger than 70 = 22.96%

September 2020:

  • 20s = 3 = 0.45%
  • 30s = 12 = 1.81%
  • 40s = 16 = 2.41%
  • 50s = 33 = 4.98%
  • 60s = 69 = 10.41%
  • 70s = 165 = 24.89%
  • 80s = 217 = 32.73%
  • 90s = 127 = 19.16%
  • 100+ = 21 = 3.17%

Total = 663; Younger than 70 = 20.06%

September 2019:

  • 20s = 3 = 0.53%
  • 30s = 15 = 2.67%
  • 40s = 22 = 3.91%
  • 50s = 26 = 4.63%
  • 60s = 74 = 13.17%
  • 70s = 122 = 21.71%
  • 80s = 170 = 30.25%
  • 90s = 116 = 20.64%
  • 100+ = 14 = 2.49%

Total = 562; Younger than 70 = 24.91%

September 2018:

  • 20s = 8 = 1.54%
  • 30s = 3 = 0.58%
  • 40s = 10 = 1.92%
  • 50s = 31 = 5.95%
  • 60s = 67 = 12.86%
  • 70s = 106 = 20.35%
  • 80s = 161 = 30.90%
  • 90s = 129 = 24.76%
  • 100+ = 6 = 1.15%

Total = 521; Younger than 70 = 22.84%


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Wikipedia

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