926 Cases of Monkeypox in Portugal

A total of 926 cases of Monkeypox have been registered in Portugal as of October 2. This is the first update of these numbers since August 31 when there had been 871 cases since the beginning of the outbreak.

This means that there have been 55 new cases over a 32-day period, which translates to about 2 new cases per day. This is the smallest number registered since the spread of the disease stalled in July:

• July 1 - 415 cases - about 10 new cases per day
• July 7 - 473 cases - about 10 new cases per day
• July 13 - 515 cases - about 7 new cases per day
• July 20 - 588 cases - about 10 new case per day
• July 27 - 633 cases - about 7 new cases per day
• August 3 -710 cases - about 10 new cases per day
• August 10 - 770 cases - about 9 new cases per day
• August 17 - 810 cases - about 6 new cases per day
• August 24 - 846 cases - about 5 new cases per day
• August 31 - 871 cases - about 4 new cases per day
• October 2 - 926 cases - about 2 new cases per day

Assuming a hospital stay of no more than ten days for the infected, there should be no more than 20 cases of Monkeypox currently in Portuguese hospitals. The downward trend indicates that the outbreak may be over by Christmas. 

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By Gilbert Baker (Vector graphics by Fibonacci) - SVG based on this image, Public Domain, Link