Showing posts with label climate. Show all posts
Showing posts with label climate. Show all posts

Friday, January 2, 2026

Continued Snow and Ice Accumulation

Winter is well on its way, and the UN's own data indicate that it's going to be a snowy one.

Snow and Ice accumulation 2025 to 2026
Snow and Ice accumulation 2025 to 2026

Just like last winter:

Snow and Ice accumulation 2024 to 2025
Snow and Ice accumulation 2024 to 2025

And the winter before that:

Snow and Ice accumulation 2023 to 2024
Snow and Ice accumulation 2023 to 2024

If this trend continues, we'll be having the sixth straight winter with above average snow fall, according to the UN's own scientists.

Glaciation

Note that every year ends with accumulation of snow and ice. So, we can conclude that the northern hemisphere is in fact gaining ice, and that this has been going on for six years straight.

Sunday, December 28, 2025

Predictions for 2026

2025 is coming to an end, and it's time to make another assessment of previously made predictions, as well as a new set of predictions going forward.

Assessment of predictions made for 2024

My last full year prediction was made late 2023.

Much of it didn't come true in 2024. But by 2025, I've been proven right.

This is not the first time this has happened.

I keep making accurate predictions as far as events are concerned. My problem is that I keep thinking they are more imminent than they were.

So, I will draw out my timelines as I make predictions going forward.

The new era

My assessment of 2022, made back in early 2023, was that the so called Progressive era that started in 1913, has come to an end.

This assessment looks increasingly accurate. Progressive era institutions are devolving, and new doctrines are emerging.

This will almost certainly continue in the years ahead.

Devolving institutions:

  • The WHO
  • UN climate science
  • NATO
  • EU
  • Western central banks
  • Islam
  • Socialist policies

Emerging institutions and doctrines:

  • New Monroe doctrine (the "Donroe" doctrine)
  • Gold back finance
  • Russia-Chinese cooperation
  • India
  • Africa tilting East
  • Christian renaissance
  • Libertarian politics

Geopolitics

The US is in the process of pulling out of Europe. So, Europe will have to find its own way. The push is currently for continued hostilities towards Russia. But I won't think this will continue for long.

The war in Ukraine will end with Russian victory. The war in Gaza will end with Israel winning at the expense of its popularity. However, the US will continue to support Israel.

With the EU in decline, European nations will go their own way. They will choose cooperation and trade with Russia over armed conflict.

Africa will see US interfere in regions where militant Islam is active. The Russians will be active in the Sahel, where they will keep France out. China will also expand their influence.

The net result will not be proxy wars, but peace and economic growth.

South America will continue to tilt towards libertarian doctrines, led by Argentina. The result will be economic growth followed by population growth.

India and China will continue their growth. This may result in more tensions. But here too, peace will prevail.

Health

Common sense health is currently replacing institutional health.

This will result in improved health, especially in the US, as predicted back in May.

Price inflation

Gold went up a whopping 50% this year It's currently trading at $4,500, which is more than 100%.

This means that we have blown past the two technical limits at $3,000 and $4,000, found in the long chart.

It also means that we're headed for hyper-inflation. Because the gold price is a reliable early indicator of monetary weakness.

Western central banks are in decline, and the only way out is a gold based standard.

Price inflation will be high by end 2026, but probably not into extremes.

As a consequence, some gold based alternative will establish visibility. There will be some early adaption.

This new money will either come reluctantly from the public sector, or it will emerge from the private sector due to market demand.

Popular politics

Trump has introduced a new type of politics that is confusing his opponents.

It consists of a combination of trolling and real-politics. While his opponents get hung up in his trolling, real changes are made to the global order.

This makes it look like socialism and Islam is making a comeback. However, the opposite is true. Conservative and libertarian forces are getting stronger.

Christians are turning away from controlled institutions, which makes it look like this religion is in decline. But we're merely seeing a shift away from institutions. There's even a an awakening going on.

This trend has only started.

Demographics

This is another long term trend that is largely misunderstood.

There are, within all nations, a considerable subgroup that reproduces above sustainability. So, it is incorrect to linearly expand the current population decline.

What is in fact going on is that the anti-population groups within nations are going extinct.

The pro-population groups, on the other hand, are growing.

The pro-population consists of conservatives, libertarians and Christians. So, the future will turn increasingly towards these ideologies. However, it will take years before this trend becomes obvious.

Education

With conservatives, libertarians and Christians in the ascent, education will turn away from socialism and anti-population doctrines such as climate hysteria and the like.

This too will emerge slowly at first, before becoming obvious some years down the line.

Conclusion

2026 will be marked by continuing chaos. However, patterns will start to emerge. The new era is taking shape.

Quarterly performance of gold up until 2026
Quarterly performance of gold up until 2026



Wednesday, May 28, 2025

Ice Increasing in Volume while Decreasing in Extent

Climate alarmists are struggling with the fact that global ice cover has increased in volume for the last six years straight. Snow and ice was supposed to become a thing of the past, yet here we are with more snow and ice than back in the 1990s.

So, the alarmists are now forced to blow the dust off of their science books which clearly state that temperature is but one driver of ice formation.

Precipitation plays an important part in it too, and climate realists have pointed this out from the start. Antarctica is more likely to gain than lose ice in case of higher global temperatures, because Antarctica is a desert with hardly any precipitation. It can only gain in ice if precipitation increases.

The expected result of higher global temperatures is an increase in ice volume on land and a decrease in ice extent on water, because sea ice will melt in warmer water, and more moisture in the air will result in more ice in cold places, especially dry places like Antarctica.

This fact has been known for decades, yet it's only now that the alarmists are pointing this out, desperate as they are to hold onto their core belief in global manmade warming.

But the realists have held this position all along. The alarmists are late to the party. Besides, the supposed negative effect of global warming was desertification and rising sea levels. Now we have a greening planet and stable sea levels. The world is in a better place, so the climate isn't and never was anything to worry about.

Above average ice volume
Above average ice volume

Monday, May 12, 2025

Early Spring in Oslo, Late Spring in Porto

Spring came early to Oslo this year. Some five weeks early to be exact. The evidence for this can be seen on how green all the trees have become. Compared to the typical mid-May picture of Oslo, the amount of green in April was ahead by more than a month. As I write this, Oslo looks more like it usually looks in June, rather than May.

Southern Norway has been caught in a prolonged spell of warmer than normal weather, and the evidence is clear as day.

The same cannot be said about Porto, which has been caught up in one cold spell after another. Spring has been unusually wet and cool, and this has led to a later than normal spring. The evidence for this is not as easy to spot as in Oslo, but I have flowers on my balcony that can be used for this.

I took this picture of my bougainvillea on April 30 2021, and we're still not that far. I'd say we need another week before it reaches this level of lushness, so that means that spring has been delayed by three weeks down here.

Bougainvillea April 30, 2021
Bougainvillea April 30, 2021

So, Oslo is ahead by five weeks and Porto is delayed by three weeks. This should come as no surprise because our planet on the whole doesn't change its temperature by more than a few decimals of a degree from one year to another. If one area is warmer than normal, other areas have to be cooler.

It's impossible to say anything conclusive about the climate based on any one extreme, because there are for sure other extremes other places weighing the balance the other way.

Monday, February 10, 2025

Controlled Opposition Confirmed

The USAID scandal that is currently unfolding has revealed that the controlled opposition that I first wrote about back in 2019 is a real thing, and it's worse than I thought possible. News media all over the world has been centrally coordinated and controlled through a network of NGOs, all funded by USAID and other government charities.

This explains why news stories across the globe have had an eerie tendency to look identical. It explains the "spontaneous" appearance of climate activists, color revolutions, and scary virus stories. Everything has been fake, and it has all been funded by tax money.

The government, always eager to expand its own power, has constructed an elaborate PR system that feeds us stories about "popular demand" for things they want to do to us. Lockdowns were introduced through this kind of popular demand, as was mask mandates and the the rapid development of novel mRNA vaccines.

Everything climate related has also been manufactured. The science is fake, the remedies are fake, and the popular demand for it has been constructed through propaganda. The same goes for all the wars we've been funding.

All of this had nothing to do with, truth, reality, freedom or peace. The sole purpose of it has been to make a small group of people, well connected to the government, immensely rich at the expense of everybody else. That's why everything manufactured to remedy all these manufactured wars and emergencies has been such expensive crap.

It explains why Greta Thunberg got as much press coverage as she did, while others who tried the same got no attention at all. Greta's parents were insiders in the propaganda machine. Others, less well connected, were simply gullible copy cats. They were true believers in the propaganda, and their reward for believing in it was misery and disrespect.

We have lived inside a manufactured reality, similar to the one depicted in the Truman Show. Everything is fake.

But now that the lid has been blown open on this can of worms, reality is once again visible through  the mist of propaganda, and it will be difficult, if not impossible, to put the lid back on.

This in turn explains why gold is going up these days. With reality now creeping in, anything artificial is likely to crumble, and the only safe havens are real things, preferably real things that we can hold in our hands.

Controlled opposition
Controlled opposition

Monday, December 9, 2024

Why we don't have to worry about rising sea levels

Introduction

This winter is, according to the UN's own data, the fifth winter running with snow and ice accumulating on the northern hemisphere.

Snow and Ice accumulation 2024 to 2025
Snow and Ice accumulation 2024 to 2025

We're more than one standard deviation above normal compared to winters from 1998 to 2011.

Increase in glaciation

It's also clear from the above graph that the snow and ice accumulated during the winter of 2023 to 2024 did not melt away through the summer, because the red line starts above zero. The northern hemisphere is in other words seeing an increase in ice cover.

Looking at the winter of 2023 to 2024 we see that it too started out with glaciation.

Snow and Ice accumulation 2023 to 2024
Snow and Ice accumulation 2023 to 2024

So, if this winter follows this trend, we will see further glaciation into next year.

Greenland is accumulating ice

From this, it's also clear that Greenland cannot possibly be shedding its icecap, because Greenland has by far the thickest ice cover on the northern hemisphere. If it was melting away at anywhere near the pace reported in mainstream media, it would show up as deglaciation on the above two graphs, which is the opposite of what we're seeing.

This is of particular interest to us because there's absolutely no chance of the South Pole loosing any significant amount of ice. Any melting down there happens out at sea, which doesn't affect sea levels, or at the outer fringes of its landmass, which amounts to very little of Antarctica's total ice cover.

Antarctica is too cold for deglaciation

The bulk of Antarctica's ice is located in areas that never see temperatures above freezing. Even if temperatures were to rise well above what they are today, Antarctica will remain unaffected. It may even accumulate more ice due to increased precipitation.

Greenland, on the other hand, is located at a latitude that would see deglaciation if it wasn't for a cold ocean current coming down from the North Pole, which keeps the area colder than what it would otherwise be.

A change in ocean currents would cause Greenland's ice to melt. However, that would be at the expense of Scandinavia, which would see its climate go from unusually mild, considering its location, to unusually cold.

As far as climate goes, Greenland and Scandinavia can swap places, but they cannot both become significantly warmer at the same time. A small temperature increase is all we can reasonably expect to see for both these regions at the same time.

Worst case scenario

This means that any rise in sea levels would have to come from Greenland. But that icesheet isn't going to melt very fast. It will take centuries, if not millennia to melt it all, and the resulting sea rise will be no more than 7.4 meters.

So, if we for argument's sake suppose that it will take 740 years to melt all of the ice on Greenland, we'll get a 10 millimeter sea rise per year, which translates to one meter per century.

However, there is at the moment no deglaciation going on. In fact, there's more ice on the northern hemisphere today than there was fifteen years ago, so a ten millimeter sea rise per year is an absolute worst case, at least for this coming century.

Conclusion

Considering that there's no deglaciation going on at the moment, and that even a worst case scenario limits sea rise to one meter per century, there's no reason for anyone to panic about rising sea levels.

A modest investment in dikes and water management infrastructure is all that's required in order to fully protect ourselves for at least a century into the future.

Sunday, December 8, 2024

Atlantis, the Igloo Effect, and Mass Extinctions

Introduction

The legend of Atlantis is an enduring myth that may have more truth to it than is generally believed, because its existence would go a long way in explaining how ancient building techniques and religious symbols all over the world are as similar as they are.

Places as far separated as Peru, Mexico, Egypt, Mesopotamia, India and Cambodia, all have ancient building structures that are remarkably similar. They also have gods carrying handbags and displaying other symbols that are virtually identical in all these places.

At the very least, these places must have been connected by a network of trade and cooperation.

Not a new idea

The illustration below shows us that this is not a new idea. People have been speculating about Atlantis for a long time, and this particular map is a good example of this. However, it contains some glaring errors.

If Atlantis existed some twelve thousand years ago, Scandinavia would have been under a thick layer of ice, and so would the northern parts of North America.

On the other hand, East Asia should have been included. If not as a part of the Atlantis empire, then at least as an important cultural and economic connection.


Position and extent of Atlantis and its empire, postulated by Ignatius L. Donnelly in 1882

By Ignatius Donnelly; cropped by Beyond My Ken (talk) 22:14, 28 September 2010 (UTC) - This image is available from the United States Library of Congress's Prints and Photographs division under the digital ID cph.3b36915.This tag does not indicate the copyright status of the attached work. A normal copyright tag is still required. See Commons: Licensing for more information., Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=11626443


Remarkable accuracy

However, what's remarkable about this map is not its errors and omissions, but the fact that the island of Atlantis is drawn in at a location that would in fact have been dry land at the time of Atlantis' supposed existence.

The author of the map could not have known this for sure because the map was drawn before our ocean floors were mapped out. At most, he was aware of the Acores, which are today found in the region. But the landmass is drawn into the map, not because of the Acores, but because this is where Plato in his time said that the island was located. That's more than two thousand years ago.

Atlantis

Strategic location

If a dominant civilization existed at the end of the great ice age, we can hardly imagine a better location for its center.

The island of Atlantis was large enough to sustain a civilization, it was near impossible to invade due to its surrounding seas, and its central position on the map would have made it a perfect spring board for imperial expansion. So, it's clear that this part of the legend has merit. But could the island really have sunk into the ocean in as little as a night and a day, as claimed by Plato?

More than an earthquake?

While it's possible to imagine an island the size of England sinking into the ocean due to an earthquake, evidence suggests that this didn't happen, because if it did, the reconstructed map should show no land at the location of Atlantis.

So, for this part of the legend to be true, the oceans must have risen abruptly.

But conventional theory has it that the oceans have risen slowly and steadily over thousands of years due to a steady melting of the ice caps.

Some catastrophes are known to have happened, such as the flooding of Doggerland in the North Sea some ten to twelve thousand years ago. But all in all, sea levels have moved higher without much in the way of catastrophe.

Sundaland, in East Asia, is another area that is known to have sunk into the sea with rising sea levels, and some have suggested that the legend of Atlantis is merely a reference to places such as Sundaland and Doggerland. But these places are not where Plato puts Atlantis. Nor is it a given that these areas disappeared slowly rather than catastrophically. We merely assume that sea levels rose steadily over centuries because that's how great volumes of snow and ice melt.

However, if large amounts of land ice were to slide into the oceans, there would be catastrophic floodings without any exceptional melting going on, and this could happen very quickly.

Icesheet slippage

For instance, if the current Greenland icesheet slid into the Atlantic ocean, there would be a huge tsunami, followed by a permanent sea rise of up to 7.4 meters. So, if something like that happened in the past, we would have had a situation similar to the one described by Plato.

The strong earthquake that rocked Atlantis, according to Plato's story, may have triggered an icesheet slippage relatively close by, which would have caused a tsunami to wipe out most of the island. Shortly thereafter, there'd be a catastrophic flooding of Doggerland, and this would in turn be followed by a global rise in sea levels, affecting low-lying lands everywhere, including Sunnaland.

So, when the few survivors from Atlantis returned to their island to look for it, they would have found it permanently sunken into the sea. Instead of dry land, they would have found shallows and islands, like Plato said they did.

Rapid disappearance of icesheets

This scenario, if sufficiently large scale, or repeated several times, would have greatly accelerated the melting of the ice caps, because water is a lot more effective than air in melting snow and ice. Instead of air and sun melting the ice over tens of thousands of years, the icesheets would have disappeared within a few thousand years, which is what appears to have happened, based on geological records.

Icesheet slippage can therefore explain how the enormous icecaps of the great ice age came to disappear as quickly as they did. But by what mechanism would this have happened?

The igloo effect

A phenomenon rarely considered when it comes to truly enormous icesheets is what's known as the igloo effect. Yet, this mechanism may be key to understanding why great ice ages tend to come to sudden and catastrophic ends, where ice that has accumulated over tens of thousands of years disappear in a tiny fraction of this time span.

To understand this, we have to recognize that ice and snow are insulators that prevent heat from escaping. For example, the inside of an igloo can be a great deal warmer than outside temperatures, even with a relatively small heat source at its center.

The same goes for icesheets where the temperatures close to the ground can be a great deal warmer than at their surface, because Earth itself is a heat source. In fact, once an icesheet becomes sufficiently thick, temperatures at ground level may go permanently above freezing. Instead of being anchored to the ground through frost, the icesheet comes unglued.

Sitting on top of large pools of fresh water, the icesheet becomes unstable and liable to slip, because ice is virtually frictionless when pressed against a wet surface.

Planetary expansion

Once an icesheet looses its anchoring, a large chunk of it can break loose and slide into the ocean. All it takes is a sufficiently strong earthquake for disaster to ensue. It's therefore interesting to note that there's evidence to suggest that our planet is expanding, and that this happens in fits and starts that coincide with ice ages.

Furthermore, Earth's expansion is lopsided, with the Pacific region expanding faster than the Atlantic. A consequence of this is that Greenland, Canada and Scandinavia have moved southwards from where they were located at the start of the last great ice age.

This explains why it was Canada and Scandinavia that together with Greenland held the bulk of ice on the northern hemisphere during the last great ice age, and why northern Russia was less affected. It also suggests to us that Canada and Scandinavia may have shed their icesheets, largely or in part, by slippage into surrounding waters.

Mass extinctions

There also appears to be a relationship between the size of our planet and the maximum size of land animals. Not only were dinosaurs larger than the mammals that followed them, but ancient mammals were larger than mammals are today, and the same goes for birds. Furthermore, mass extinctions happen periodically, and the latest episodes coincided with what was presumably the latest fits of Earth expansion some twelve and four thousand years ago.

Researchers, such as Stephen Hurrell, have pointed out that mass extinctions are likely due to an increase in gravity that correspond to an increase in the size of our planet. So, it wasn't climate change or human activity that killed off the Saber Tooth Tiger, the Giant Sloth and the Woolly Mammoths. Rather, it was an increase in gravity that did this, coupled with an inability by these animals to respond sufficiently quickly with smaller offspring.

On the other hand, large animals that managed to produce smaller offspring have survived to this day. The African lion being a prime example of this.

This too fits well with the legend of Atlantis where Platon implies that animals at the time were larger and more voracious than they are today.

Conclusion

The legend of Atlantis dovetails well with a number of observations and theories related to the history of our planet. Every aspect of the story can be explained, including the island's sudden and dramatic demise. But the only way to conclusively find out if the legend is true would be to survey its supposed location for human artifacts. Until that happens, we must treat this legend with the same skepticism that we treat any other legend or theory.

Wednesday, July 3, 2024

The Electric Sun-Earth Connection

Earth has an electric connection to the Sun. We know this because Auroras at the poles of our planet are electric phenomena, and they flare up whenever there's a solar storm. The more intense the flaring, the more intense are the Auroras.

Electric winds and storms

The most spectacular case of this ever recorded was the so called Carrington Event of 1859. It resulted in fantastic Auroras, and a great deal of damage to telegraph lines as well as powerlines. The solar flare was clearly electrical in nature.

We have since learned that there's a steady stream of charged particles emitted by the Sun, mostly electrons and protons. Solar flares are in other words like storms in an otherwise stable environment.

Magnetic field reversals

The electric connection between our Sun and our planet is never broken. But it's not hardwired either. We know this because our Sun's magnetic field flips 180° every 11 years, and this type of reversal almost never happens on Earth. So, our planet's electric characteristics must be at least somewhat independent of our Sun.

Furthermore, the Sun's magnetic reversals indicate that it's under the influence of a alternating rather than direct current.

Birkeland currents

This leads us to the assumption that our Sun is externally powered by a Birkeland current. If our Sun's magnetic field reverts every 11 years, so must the Birkeland current. However, this is not a problem, because Birkeland currents do in fact encompass counterrotations and reversals.

Birkeland currents are made up of concentric tubes of electric plasma that oscillate at relatively steady frequencies. If our Sun is moving along such a current, periodic field reversals is exactly what we'd expect.

But how is it that our Sun's energy output remains pretty much unaffected by all of this? If our Sun is externally powered, it must mean that the current feeding it is steady as well. Yet, we have magnetic field reversals happening every 11 years with hardly any change to its output.

Z-pinch

The answer to this is that Birkeland currents are multilayered. The overall energy supply is therefore the sum of multiple layers of various current flows, and these layers are distributed in such a way that the energy transmitted by any cross section adds up to pretty much the same number no matter how you slice it.

The Sun forms a node in the Birkeland current, known as a z-pinch. So, multiple layers of the Birkeland current are pulled in towards our Sun. Each layer provides its own energy input, sometimes strong and sometimes weak. But taken together, the input is steady.

Turbulence and flaring

This means that there are times when our Sun is moving through its Birkeland current in regions where all the various layers of plasma sheets move in the same direction, and other times when the sheets are out of synch with each other. In the case of our Sun, the cycle is 11 years.

When the Birkeland current is in synch, our Sun is calm with little flaring and few sunspots. When the current is out of synch, there is more flaring and more sunspots.

The period of calm is also when our Sun's magnetic field is at its most distinct. It has a clear north-south axis. This is contrary to periods of flaring and turbulence, when our Sun has a chaotic magnetic field with no clear direction.

Solar cycles

All of this corresponds precisely to the so called solar cycles. In fact, it explains them perfectly.

Sunspots and flaring are at their most intense shortly after our Sun moves through a region of maximum turbulence in the Birkeland current. They are at a minimum shortly after our Sun passes through a region of minimum of turbulence.

Atmospheric inertia

The delay is due to atmospheric inertia. Just like summers here on Earth are at their hottest shortly after we have peak solar exposure, solar cycles are at their most intense shortly after the Sun passes through maximum turbulence in its Birkeland current.

Atmospheric inertia can also explain why there's no overall change in the Sun's rotation due to magnetic reversal.

Plasma sheets swapping sides

The Birkeland current doesn't have much inertia to it, so when there is a reversal in its overall motion, it deals with this through the way of least resistance. It doesn't oppose the inertially heavy rotation of our Sun. Rather, it reconnects in such a way that its contribution to the rotation remains the same.

The direction of the current reverts, but not its rotation. The positive and negative plasma sheets that come in through the north and south poles of our Sun swap sides, but with no other impact than a lot of turbulence during the swap. 

Climate impacts

Additionally, we have an explanation for why Earth's climate cools down during periods of little overall solar activity.

If our Sun is externally powered by a Birkeland current, it follows that the strength of this current will determine the strength of the Sun's output. So, when the Birkeland current is weaker than normal, our Sun should be less intense in both its radiation, and its turbulence and flaring.

By observing a drop in flaring and sunspot activity, we can infer a drop in energy input, and hence expect a drop in Earth's temperature.

Atmospheric inertia

There is a delay between the magnetic reversal and the maximum turbulence in the Sun's atmosphere. But this can be explained in terms of inertia. Just like there's a delay between the height of summer in terms of heat relative to the peak position of the Sun in the skies here on Earth, there's a delay between 

AC to DC conversion

But none of this explains why Earth's magnetic field remains unaffected by magnetic reversals of our Sun. However, this detail isn't difficult to explain in the light of what was stated earlier about the solar wind.

Our Sun is the central node of the Birkeland current that passes through our Solar system. It's the Sun that soaks up its energy. The planets that orbit our Sun is not directly affected. Rather, we are basking in the glow of our central star. There's a steady wind of electrons and ions sprayed out at us together with photon radiation.

Instead of being affected by an alternating current, we're receiving a direct current that doesn't revert every 11 years.

The Sun acts as a AC to DC converter for the planets.

Magnetic reversals for planets

But if our Sun provides its planets with a DC current, why then do we sometimes get magnetic reversals also on Earth? Here, we can only speculate, but one possible explanation could be a change in the overall makeup of the solar wind.

If the solar wind is predominantly made up of electrons during normal times, but sometimes changes to predominantly protons, or visa versa, we may experience a magnetic reversal for planets as a consequence.

Planetary Birkeland currents

The effect of an overall change in the makeup of the solar wind would be similar to the effect of a reversal for the Sun.

This is because the auroral current entering planets are of the same kind as the current driving our Sun. They too are Birkeland currents with multiple layers and counter rotations.

The inertia inherent in planetary rotation will similarly dictate that the overall rotation remains the same. So, the only significant change to the planets becomes a reversal of the poles, preceded by significant atmospheric and magnetic turbulence.

However, there may be internal mechanisms driving some of this as well, as suggested in this paper.

Conclusion

Observed facts are consistent with an electric model of our galaxy, our Sun and its planets. However, the precise makeup of the electric circuit is far from straight forward. There are multiple factors playing a part, and I'm not pretending to have all the answers.

Solar Cycle Prediction.gif

By David Hathaway, NASA, Marshall Space Flight Center - http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/predict.shtml, Public Domain, Link

Saturday, May 11, 2024

The Sumerian Black Sun

The Sumerians had a seven day week with the first day dedicated to the Sun and last day dedicated to what they referred to as the Black Sun, which is generally believed to have been the planet Saturn.

The Black Sun was only visible during the night, and was described as a ring of light. This fits well with Saturn, as does the fact that our current calendar has Saturn's day, known to us as Saturday, six days after Sunday. However, the Black Sun was said to be larger than the Sun. It was also associated with evil. There was presumably something foreboding about it. That doesn't fit so well with a distant planet associated with wealth and agriculture.

It appears then that the Sumerians observed something in the skies that we rarely or never see nowadays, and this phenomenon may have had some connection to Saturn. When the original phenomenon faded, the secondary effect was brought forward, and we ended up replacing the Black Sun with Saturn in our calendars and myths.

I am of course speculating wildly at this point but there is a phenomenon that fits the bill, and that is the northern lights. This phenomenon is only visible close to our planet's poles these days, but it may have been visible farther to the south in Sumerian times if the Sun was more active back then.

The Sumerians may have noticed a connection between intense northern lights and bad weather, and hence deemed it evil. They may also have noticed some connection between northern lights and the luminosity of Saturn and its rings, and hence made a connection between the Black Sun and Saturn.

While I'm far from certain when it comes to any connection between solar flaring and the luminosity of Saturn, there is a proven connection between cosmic radiation and cloud formation. If we get a prolonged period with above normal radiation of our planet, we'll get more clouds, colder weather and harsher weather. The intensity of the Black Sun would therefore function as a climate forecasting tool for the Sumerians. Should the Black Sun shine bright for many days in a row, bad weather could be expected.

Saturn during Equinox.jpg
Saturn

Monday, November 13, 2023

Climate Change is Whatever the Weather is Right Now

I'm not sure if the drought that was declared a year and a half ago has been officially declared dead and buried, but the talking heads on TV are not mentioning it any more.

Even Algarve has received plenty of rain over the last few weeks, enough to fill their reservoirs. The talk is now of floods rather than drought. But it's still all due to climate change, which goes to show that climate change is whatever the weather happens to be right now.

Greta Thunberg 01.jpg
Greta Thunberg

Eco-anxiety - By Anders Hellberg - Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, Link

Friday, October 20, 2023

Desperate Weather Reporting

It's been raining hard in Portugal the last few days. That's how it always is this time of year, but the news channels are trying to make it into some kind of catastrophe. The local CNN franchise has had about equal reporting on the situation in the Middle East and the rain we've been having, as if the two are about equally Earth shattering.

Making this all the more pathetic, CNN sent reporters out into the streets to report on the weather. But there wasn't any flooding of note anywhere to be seen, so the camera man zoomed in on a puddle next to the reporter instead.

Greta Thunberg 01.jpg
Greta Thunberg

Eco-anxiety - By Anders Hellberg - Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, Link

Friday, October 13, 2023

Like Clockwork

The transition from summer to autumn in northern Portugal follows a remarkably predictable pattern. It's like a switch where the weather goes from sunny and dry to grey and rainy. The transition is usually from one day to another, as was the case this year, and it happens mid October, give or take a few days.

What follows is three months with a lot of rain. This is followed by a gradual decrease in rain until summer comes back in June.

There are of course variations and exceptions to this. Some five years ago, we saw the transition from summer to autumn happen on November 2. That was so late and unusual that it got a lot of attention from experts and laymen alike. Everybody could agree that this was strange.

This year, we had the summer weather end with a heat wave. That too is unusual. But the transition to autumn weather came right on time. It's almost as if the heat wave was thrown into our last summer days as a compensation for an otherwise cool summer.

Sun (Earth POV).jpg
Sun

Thursday, September 21, 2023

A Cool Summer in Porto

This summer has been the coolest I've experienced in the 17 years I've lived in Porto. Temperatures have rarely strayed from around 24 C, and we haven't had a single period of more than three days with temperatures above 30 C. We've also had more cloudy and rainy weather than usual.

Two years ago, I made a similar observation, and I predicted that this weather pattern was going to remain with us for years to come. So far, I've been correct in this. However, I was criticised by local friends for saying that this weather pattern was something new. What has been unusual is the sweltering warm summers I experienced during my first ten years in Porto. Last year was neither cold nor cool. It was in their opinion a normal summer. But I'm sure my friends will agree that this summer was no warmer than the last two summers we've experienced, and that's an interesting point in itself because Porto is located on Iberia, a place foreign news outlets have pointed to as nearly boiling.

If there has been unusually warm summer days in Iberia, they have been poorly reported on here in Porto, and they cannot have been in this part of the peninsula. In fact, Portugal as a whole has had a remarkably good year for wine growers, so the sweltering hot and dry weather must have been confined to Spain.

Greta Thunberg 01.jpg
Greta Thunberg

Eco-anxiety - By Anders Hellberg - Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, Link

Tuesday, September 19, 2023

Fear and Confusion

One of the positive things that came out of the virus scare was that the mechanisms of evil have been laid bare. Everyone, including relatively young children, have now seen with their own eyes how evil operates. All that's required for them to see it clearly is for us to point it out.

This, I believe, is the right way forward in our battle for liberty.

Whenever someone expresses fear or confusion related to some woke topic, we can remind them of some previous fad that has by now been thoroughly debunked by the person in question.

I have, for instance, an eleven year old boy attending dance school. The woke mob has somehow caught onto this and is now busy trying to convince him that he's gender fluid or something like that. My boy is inundated with pride related stuff on social media.

This has made my son excessively preoccupied with pride values, and also worried that someone will force him into some nasty transition program. The pride agenda is full of down right scary stuff, so I understand my son's concern. But I've calmed his nerves by telling him that we never had him injected with the vaccine, and we're for sure not going to let any creepy pride guy get his way with him. 

I've pointed out that pride is a fad on decline. It will soon disappear. But, should someone at the dance school for some reason insist on some embarrassing gay stuff, we will simply pull him out of it. He can rest assured that his parents will have nothing of it.

A friend of mine has a similar problem with his eleven year old boy. The kid is convinced that we're in some sort of climate emergency. He's also convince that his father knows less about these things than his teacher, so he refuses to listen to his father.

My guess is that my friend was a little too quick to dismiss his son's concern. But it's never too late to adopt a better strategy, so I've suggested he try the same overall strategy as I've used with my son. Start by toning the scaremongering down a notch by saying that the problem is exaggerated. Nothing dramatic is going to happen to our planet over the next few decades. We got plenty of time to adapt if there really is a problem with our climate.

Other things he can do is to point to the ocean in front of his house and the mountains in front of his cabin. Let the boy take in the immensity of it all. Clearly, we're too small to change any of this dramatically in the space of a few years. Even decades or centuries are short timespans relative to the billions of years our planet has existed.

As for the boy's trust in his teacher's insights, my friend can point out that the teacher also thought that masks were a good idea. My friend can do this because his son was initially conned into believing this to be true, only to realize later that his father was right to dismiss the pseudo science. It was my friend who had things right, not his son's teacher.

As parents, it's our duty to protect our children from hysteria and confusion, and we do this by remaining calm and clear. This may not work well right off the bat, but the longer we persist, the more credibility and respect we get.

My friend and I remained calm and clear throughout the virus scare, so we have one big victory we can point back to. With the woke agenda unravelling before us, we'll soon have many more victories to lean back on, and our standing in the eyes of our children will only grow.

Taking in the view
Taking in the view

Monday, August 21, 2023

A Good Year for Wine in Portugal

This year is set to be unusually good for wine in Portugal. Not only is there more wine produced, but the grapes are of a high quality as well. This is interesting because Portugal has been officially in a state of drought since early 2022, and this summer is said to have been unusually warm and dry.

But drought, excessive heat and a scorching sun isn't compatible with bumper crops of high quality grapes, so we can only conclude that this summer must have been relatively temperate. We can also conclude that the year as a whole has had sufficient rain to support the vineyards.

It appears then that something is amiss with the official narrative. Portugal is not in fact experiencing widespread drought, and this summer has not been excessively warm. Most likely, this summer has been unusual only in that it has had stable temperatures in the high twenties C, which would be ideal for winegrowers.

This squares up with my personal impression of the weather in Porto over the past year. It has been wet during winter, and the summer has been pleasant with few excessively hot days.

Grape Vineyard.jpg
Vineyard

By Sanjay Acharya - Own work, CC BY-SA 3.0, Link

Saturday, August 12, 2023

A Counter-fear Campaign

Those of us who stood firm against the elite's campaign to have us all vaccinated have reasons to be pleased about how things have unfolded since peak insanity hit some time during 2022. However, the war that the elite is waging on us is not over. It has moved on, with climate change now the big bogyman that we're all supposed to fear.

This too, is something we must oppose because the elite will not stop before they are thoroughly defeated. If we let them get away with their scheming against us we'll be back to the sort of insanity that they created with the virus scare, and we don't want that.

The good news is that they're unlikely to succeed with their eco-scare because we now have the advantage of a proven strategy. We know that the network effect works. If we voice our scepticism within our private sphere of influence, there will be an awakening that grows exponentially over time. We will see the same abrupt change among politicians and pundits when it comes to "green" policies as we saw with the virus scare.

We also learned the value of meekness in the face of overwhelming force, and the gains that can be made through a strategy of attrition warfare. Persistence and flexibility was key to our success. Ego, on the other hand, is something we need to keep at bay. We don't need heroes or leaders, and there's no value in telling people that we were right on previous occasions. People either know that we tend to be right about things, or they don't. We don't have to say it ourselves, nor do we need to rub it in. Ego will be awarded in due time simply by other people realizing how right we were all along.

Key to our success lies in the realization that fear is not only a mind killer, it is also the opposite of love. The reason the elite is so intent on creating fear among us is that people who live in fear are easy to control. Fear can make people act very much against their own interests. Those who are riddled with fear are dangerous and liable to do all sorts of things that hurt not only themselves, but society at large. Ubiquitous fear result in chaos, and the elite's plan is to create a new world order out of the chaos that they sow.

This means that our strategy going forward must target fearfulness. We have to promote courage as the ultimate virtue. Wherever we sense an irrational fear, we need to point out that fear is hardly becoming of anyone unless it's founded in something real and immediate. To fret about something that may happen decades or centuries into the future is not a constructive mode of existence.

Faith and hope are sources of courage, and we should promote this through a generally optimistic outlook on life. We must also refrain from scaring people ourselves. Unpleasant truths about the vaccine and the destruction brought on by the lockdowns should always be padded in a bundle of hope and optimism. The same should be done when it comes to other scary scenarios.

Keep in mind that courage is not the same as daredevilry. Nothing is gained by jumping out of aeroplanes, climbing steep mountainsides or any such similar activity. Courage comes from faith, hope and love. There's no other source of it.

Liberty
Liberty

Thursday, July 20, 2023

Record High Temperatures

Summer in Porto has so far been mild and pleasant with temperatures steady at around 24C since early June. We haven't had a single heat wave. If this persists, this year's summer will be the mildest, most pleasant summer I've had over the sixteen years I've lived in Porto. It has therefore come as a surprise to me that the rest of southern Europe is said to suffer intolerable from the heat. However, there's a twist to the reporting that explains it all.

The temperatures reported this year are measured closer to the ground than they used to. The standard was to report temperatures measured at 2 meters above ground, but this has now been changed. Temperatures closer to the ground are typically warmer, so this explains why we're getting such high temperatures reported for what is in most places nothing but a normal summer.

This is of course done in order to substantiate the claim that we have a climate crisis on our hands and that urgent and radical actions need to be taken. But we are no more having a climate crisis than we had a pandemic a few years back. It's all spin for the purpose of moving wealth from the middle class into the hands of politically connected billionaires.

Greta Thunberg 01.jpg
Greta Thunberg

Eco-anxiety - By Anders Hellberg - Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, Link

Saturday, July 15, 2023

Earth's Uneven Expansion

Back in 2018, I noted that Earth's equator during the last ice age was unlikely to have been where it is today due to the weight of the ice mass centred above Hudson Bay. I further suggested that this could be used as a dating mechanism for ancient monuments.

As it happens, a Dutch researcher has done exactly what I suggested, and his findings are both conclusive and informative. By comparing the orientation of more than a thousand ancient monuments, he's been able to demonstrate that the equator has shifted no less than five times during human existence.

The shifts haven't been due to the location of the ice caps, but rather the expansion of the Pacific ocean. With the Pacific expanding more than the Atlantic, Earth has had an uneven redistribution of its mass. This has in turn forced the north pole to shift from south of Greenland to north of Greenland during human existence. The orientation of ancient monuments suggest that this has happened in jumps that lasted about ten thousand years each.

When this data is correlated with ice core samples taken from Antarctica, we see that the jumps correspond to ice ages, and that humans have been around for several hundred thousand years. We didn't first start building monuments a few thousand years ago. Our history of monument building dates back far longer than that.

On a related note, we have this article from Yahoo asserting that Earth has tilted more than 31 inches on its axis since 1993. The article claims that human activity is to blame, but a continued expansion of the Pacific seems a more reasonable explanation. It appears then that the next destination of Earth's north pole is somewhere close to Alaska.

Earth's expansion seen from the South pole
Earth's expansion seen from the South pole

Sunday, June 11, 2023

The Progressive Idea

The Progressive era started in 1913 with the establishment of a central bank in the US, and it probably came to an end in 2022. Peak pride, peak vaccine, peak climate hysteria, peak NATO, and an economy completely out of whack spelled the end of confidence in experts.

The planners

It started and ended with the idea that experts can handle things better than the free market. This idea was born during the Liberal era that started with the defeat of Napoleon in 1814. The progress made during the Liberal era was remarkable, and this was a mystery to many observers because the era was marked by a dramatic reduction in centralized planning. Gone was the all powerful aristocracy and clergy. Instead, we got merchants and industrialists, and they did a far better job at making life easier for people than any king or nobleman had ever achieved.

But how could something as chaotic as a free market be superior to an economy directed by experts? Many concluded that it wasn't in fact superior. All that had changed in 1814 was a move from incompetent experts to competent experts. The aristocracy had simply been replaced by a better aristocracy, namely the merchants and industrialists that had emerged.

In support of this idea, we had the observation that the most successful industrialists revealed themselves to be expert planners. They would streamline production. They would cut out middlemen. They would take charge of ever-larger chunks of the production process. This was seen as proof that it wasn't the free market that had caused the progress during the Liberal era. It was all due to better experts running things, and the ideal society should therefore be run and operated by such experts.

The experts

A society run by experts would run at an optimum. It would see more progress than any other form of organization, and an era in the spirit of this idea should therefore be called the progressive era. The term was not coined by sceptics but by the believers themselves who still proudly declare themselves as progressives.

As it turned out, people quickly discovered that there are two main strains of progressive thinking. One has the state apparatus and its bureaucracy as both the planner and executioner of policy. The other has the state as the planner, and privately held companies as the executioner. The first one is known as Socialism and the second one is popularly called Fascism. However, they are not opposite extremes as many will have it. They are two of a kind. Both hold unwavering faith in the superiority of experts over the chaos of a free market.

Conformity

Streamlining and conformity is the name of the Progressive game. There shouldn't be a marketplace full of competition. The focus should be on what's best, and the best minds in the world should gather around what's best in order to make it even better. Since this idea came from academia, it spread quickly through theoretical sciences. For instance, there can be no discussion outside of a very limited set of ideas within theoretical physics. There simply aren't any teaching positions to be had in higher education that fall outside accepted dogma.

Education is today completely set in Progressive thinking. No opposing views are allowed. The fundamentals cannot be discussed. The only area of discussion is what expert solution to choose. Stagnation rather than progress has been the end result of Progressive policies in education.

Health care has gone the same direction. We can choose between different vaccines, and we can choose between different types of pills, but there's no point in arguing for natural remedies. The experts are clear when it comes to what healthy living looks like, and it's not from nature. Man has conquered nature. The experts are now gods, and God is dead.

One world government

The ultimate goal of the Progressives is a single world wide governing body of experts that dictate all activities on the globe. This one world order was tested out for all to see during the virus scare, and it showed that the entire globe can in fact be directed by a handful of individuals. Decrees by experts were followed slavishly by every health institution in the world. However, the results were horrible. Every piece of advice turned out to be wrong.

It turns out that when we enable experts to reign freely, they quickly start thinking of themselves as infallible gods. Any idea that comes to their mind must be true, and from this idea springs pure madness. We get people thinking they can define themselves as anything they like. The mere thought of something makes it true. A man can be a woman. Wars can be won by unwavering belief. Money can be printed ad infinitum. Wind turbines can save the world from imagined threats.

The end station of Progressive policy making is pure madness, and that's what we've had for a few years now. The Progressives still think they can push their ideas further, but that looks increasingly doubtful. Now that most people have woken up to the mess created by the madmen in charge of the state bureaucracy, resistance to additional moves towards the Progressive utopia is on the increase.

The new era

We have entered a new era, much like the one we entered after 1814, and we can expect things to improve from this point forward. Now that the Progressive idea has been laid to rest for a few generations to come, we can look forward to an increasingly diverse world. The new era will be multipolar and full of opportunities for the creative and industrious.

A world of opportunities
A world of opportunities

Wednesday, April 26, 2023

Attrition Warfare on the Offensive

“Nothing is more powerful than an idea whose time has come.”

― Victor Hugo

Almost two years have passed since I started writing about attrition warfare as a strategy for liberty, and as it turned out, this strategy has proven itself effective. It has also become widely adopted due to the network effect, where people communicate informally through friends and family.

Where we used to see defensive positioning, we're now seeing offensives. The virus scare of 2020 to 2022 has subsided, and there's an awareness spreading. The elite don't care about our health, the climate or the economy. They care only for power and the money that comes with it.

Those who stood firm while the elite was pushing forward with their agenda are now sensing opportunity. My older brother has pushed forward with evidence proving that wind turbines are inefficient and disastrous for the environment. He's also presenting evidence related to electric batteries and how polluting and ineffective electric vehicles really are.

His rhetoric would have been quickly knocked down by #Science touting friends only a few months ago, but this is no longer happening. The religion of #Science is on the decline. This fabrication by the elite is no longer as effective as it used to be. As proof of this, all we have to ask ourselves is when was the last time anyone posted #ThankYouScience as part of their status updates.

This illustrates the two separate modes of operation employed by God, aka nature, and the devil, aka clever power grabbing spin doctors. Nature employs unstoppable surges while spin doctors are constantly jumping from one story to another. To see what truth looks like, as opposed to deception, we need only look at news headlines a few years old. Deception doesn't age well, while truth shines bright.

For spin doctors to retain their power over the population, an endless stream of stories must be produced, and truth must be censored. But truth shines so bright that it cannot be censored. To hide the truth, spin doctors would have to not only sensor their opposition, they would have to sensor their own articles as well.

Simply posting two year old news onto our Facebook timeline reveals to all that we were lied to. I see no reason to be more blunt than this, so that's what I'm currently doing. I post these flashbacks about once every month. I'm doing my bit in our fight for liberty, and others are doing their bit. There's no need to coordinate this. The network effect takes care of this without any need for a central command.

Camp x-ray detainees.jpg
Guantanamo Bay detention camp

By Shane T. McCoy, U.S. Navy - (copied from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Camp_x-ray_detainees.jpg so that the image can be used on Wikinews.), Public Domain, Link