A total of 588 cases of Monkeypox have been registered in Portugal as of July 20. The numbers are growing linearly, rather than exponentially, as can be seen from the following data:
- July 1 - 415 cases - about 10 new cases per day
- July 7 - 473 cases - about 10 new cases per day
- July 13 - 515 cases - about 7 new cases per day
- July 20 - 588 cases - about 10 new case per day
There are no deaths, so most of the people who've been infected are now already cured. Assuming a hospital stay of no more than ten days for the infected, there should be no more than 100 active cases of Monkeypox in Portuguese hospitals at any given time.
Portugal has a population of 10 million people, so we're dealing with a hospitalization rate that's less than one in a hundred thousand.
We can conclude from this that Monkeypox has either become a rare endemic disease with a hospitalization rate so low that it can be ignored, or that it's waning, and that there will be no active cases in Portugal by the end of the year. Either way, no-one needs to be concerned about this disease.
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| Monkeypox, cumulative cases, linear plot |
By Edouard Mathieu, Saloni Dattani, Hannah Ritchie and Max Roser (2022) - "Monkeypox". Published online at OurWorldInData.org. Retrieved from: https://ourworldindata.org/monkeypox [Online Resource] - https://ourworldindata.org/monkeypox, CC BY 4.0, Link
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