Less than 24,000 Cases of Monkeypox Worldwide

It's early August 1, and we're not even at 24,000 cases of Monkeypox worldwide. That's 1,000 less than the 25,000 cases I predicted four days ago. Instead of 1,000 new cases per day, we got less than 750. That's down from 875 new cases per day that we had only a few days ago.

This is cause for optimism. Another cause for optimism is that the number of new cases are dropping in Portugal as well, so we may be looking at a peek, with Monkeypox on its way down to zero. However, the drop may be due to a glitch in reporting, so we should stay with our projection of 1,000 new cases worldwide per day for at least another four days before adjusting our numbers down.

This gives us the following projection going forward:

• July 24 - 17,500 cases, 700 new cases per day, 7,000 inpatients
• July 28 - 21,000 cases, 875 new cases per day, 8,750 inpatients
• August 1 - 24,000 cases, 750 new cases per day, 7,500 inpatients
• August 5 - 28,000 cases, 1,000 new cases per day, 10,000 inpatients
• August 9 - 32,000 cases, 1,000 new cases per day, 10,000 inpatients
• August 13 - 34,000 cases, 1,000 new cases per day, 10,000 inpatients

This good news is not reflected in media, which has now tilted their reporting towards deaths rather than cases. Emergency measures are called for, and there is much talk about vaccines and the like.

This follows a pattern that I noticed back in April 2020, regarding the virus scare. Things were looking up. Case counts were flat, and only the old and frail were getting seriously ill. Yet media was in a frenzied panic, politicians were passing mandates, and vaccines were rushed to market as if we were in some great global emergency.

Hope