Recovery Rates

Official numbers coming out of China are probably doctored. We cannot trust their absolute values. However, relative ratios may be pretty close to the truth. This is because the easiest way to doctor numbers is by applying a simple weighing factor to all numbers. The numbers become skewed in one direction or the other, but their relative sizes remain fixed.

From this, it's interesting to note that about 2100 individuals have recovered from the Wuhan coronavirus, while about 700 have died. For every one that have died, three have recovered. This in itself would set the mortality rate at 25%. However, we must again keep in mind the time axis. People die at the height of their illness, while they recover past this point. The mortality rate is therefore a good deal lower than 25%. A likely figure is closer to our original estimate of about 10%.

Again, we get confirmation of our original estimates through simple analysis.

By Mc681 - Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, Link