Wikipedia has updated its monkeypox outbreak page with fresh numbers, and since Wikipedia is terrible at presenting data in a straight forward manner, I'll weigh in with the missing context.
The previous update happened on November 14, which is 50 days prior to the most recent update which happened on January 3.
The accumulated number of cases for the world on November 14 was about 79,000. The number as of January 3 was 83,943, or about 84,000 cases. This means that there have been 5,000 new cases during the 50 day period from November 14 to January 3. That's pretty much exactly 100 new cases per day, down from 1,000 new cases per day in early August, when the spread was at its most severe.
When we look at the data for Portugal, we see that the accumulative number has reached 950 cases. That's 2 more cases than on November 14. It's therefore safe to say that the outbreak was effectively over for Christmas as far as Portugal is concerned.
With 100 new cases per day worldwide, the outbreak is about to end on its own. There has been no need for special measures of any kind. Once the graph below flat-lines, the outbreak can be declared officially over.
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| Monkeypox, cumulative cases, linear plot |
By Edouard Mathieu, Saloni Dattani, Hannah Ritchie and Max Roser (2022) - "Monkeypox". Published online at OurWorldInData.org. Retrieved from: https://ourworldindata.org/monkeypox [Online Resource] - https://ourworldindata.org/monkeypox, CC BY 4.0, Link
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