275 New Cases of Monkeypox per Day Worldwide

As of November 4, we've reached 78,500 cases of Monkeypox worldwide. That's fewer by a few thousand than predicted on October 17. We are only seeing 275 new cases per day. That's down from 1,000 new cases per day back in August, and a clear sign that the outbreak is waning.

The worldwide number of cases currently in hospitals can be estimated to be 2,750 based on an assumption that patients are released within 10 days. That's a miniscule percentage of the total number of hospital beds in the world, which is in the millions.

Assuming that this trend persists, we can make the following prediction going forward:

• July 24 - 17,500 cases, 700 new cases per day, 7,000 inpatients
• August 1 - 24,000 cases, 750 new cases per day, 7,500 inpatients
• August 9 - 32,000 cases, 1,000 new cases per day, 10,000 inpatients
• August 17 - 39,000 cases, 875 new cases per day, 8,750 inpatients
• August 25 - 46,000 cases, 875 new cases per day, 8,750 inpatients
• September 2 - 53,000 cases, 875 new cases per day, 8,750 inpatients
• September 10 - 57,000 cases, 500 new cases per day, 5,000 inpatients
• September 18 - 61,000 cases, 500 new cases per day, 5,000 inpatients
• September 26 - 65,000 cases, 500 new cases per day, 5,000 inpatients
• October 15 - 73,000 cases, 400 new cases per day, 4,000 inpatients
• November 4 - 78,500 cases, 275 new cases per day, 2,750 inpatients
• November 14 - 81,000 cases, 250 new cases per day, 2,500 inpatients
• November 24 - 83,500 cases, 250 new cases per day, 2,500 inpatients
• December 4 - 86,000 cases, 250 new cases per day, 2,500 inpatients
• December 14 - 88,000 cases, 200 new cases per day, 2,000 inpatients
• December 24 - 90,000 cases, 200 new cases per day, 2,000 inpatients

Pride flag

By Gilbert Baker (Vector graphics by Fibonacci) - SVG based on this image, Public Domain, Link