One New Case of Monkeypox per Day in Portugal

A total of 944 cases of Monkeypox have been registered in Portugal as of October 21. This is the first update of these numbers since October 2 when there had been 926 cases since the beginning of the outbreak.

This means that there have been 18 new cases over a 19-day period, which translates to about 1 new case per day. A clear downward trend has been in place since the start of August.

• July 1 - 415 cases - about 10 new cases per day
• July 7 - 473 cases - about 10 new cases per day
• July 13 - 515 cases - about 7 new cases per day
• July 20 - 588 cases - about 10 new case per day
• July 27 - 633 cases - about 7 new cases per day
• August 3 -710 cases - about 10 new cases per day
• August 10 - 770 cases - about 9 new cases per day
• August 17 - 810 cases - about 6 new cases per day
• August 24 - 846 cases - about 5 new cases per day
• August 31 - 871 cases - about 4 new cases per day
• October 2 - 926 cases - about 2 new cases per day
• October 21 - 944 cases - about 1 new case per day

Assuming a hospital stay of no more than ten days for the infected, there should be no more than 10 cases of Monkeypox currently in Portuguese hospitals. The downward trend indicates that the outbreak may be over by Christmas.

Pride flag

By Gilbert Baker (Vector graphics by Fibonacci) - SVG based on this image, Public Domain, Link