Still Waiting for Negative Excess Deaths

Excess death is a measure of how many more people die in a given time period compared to precious time periods of the same duration. There's an average established from previous years that we extend into the future based on the expectation that the future will be pretty much like the past. When we get more deaths than what we had in the past, we have excess deaths.

This can be seen in this chart I've plotted based on notable deaths recorded on Wikipedia:

Notable deaths according to Wikipedia

The blue column represent the base line. They are from before the pandemic. The red column represents the pandemic, and the yellow column is 2022, the start of the post-pandemic era.

Note that the vaccine rollout didn't result in negative excess deaths. Nor are we currently seeing negative excess deaths, almost a full year into the post-pandemic era.

This is concerning because it was the old and the frail that were dying in great numbers back in 2020. Remember, we were to take extra precautions to save grandma, and many took the vaccine for no other reason than to save old and frail people.

If the vaccine had worked, the vaccine rollout should have resulted in excess deaths going negative. Old and frail people would have gained an extra year or two. But this didn't happen. The year of the vaccine was no better than the start of the pandemic, despite the virus becoming progressively less deadly.

What's even more concerning is that excess deaths would have gone negative for sure in the post-pandemic era if no-one had done anything to mitigate the pandemic. The reason for this is that many who would have died in 2021 or 2022 would already have died, and so we would have had a population with fewer old and frail than we normally have. The fact that we are still seeing excess deaths indicate that the population is still full of frail people despite two years of excess deaths.

This can only be explained as a result of the population in general becoming frailer and more susceptible to an early death. The measures taken during the pandemic have created a frailer and more unhealthy population compared to what we had during pre-pandemic years.

November still has some days to go before we're at the end of it, but the numbers don't look good. The negative excess mortality rate that we should have had by now is still a long way from materializing.

The most disturbing thing about this is that if this anomaly persists, current excess deaths will become the norm, which would mean that life expectancy goes down. Becoming eighty or ninety years old will become less common. People dying in their sixties and seventies will become the norm, as it was in the not-too-distant past.

The mask of the beast