Tuesday, November 9, 2021

Lines in the Sand

The gold price is inching towards $1830 for the fifth time since July. Gold is also nearing the top of the wedge that it's been trapped inside since August of last year.

Weekly gold chart
Weekly gold chart

This constitutes strong resistance to the upside. If it's broken, we can expect a rapid move up to $1900, followed by a more gradual move towards $2100. Our year end target of $2100 will remain within reach.

However, the resistance may be too strong. If so, we may have to wait until December for a retest. But there's little need for concern. There's a strong line of resistance to the downside at $1680. The gold price is unlikely to go lower than that. Last time it touched that line, the upwards reaction was strong and rapid. That's likely to happen again if there's a renewed attempt to break out to the downside of the wedge.

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