Wednesday, February 12, 2020

Bad Strategy

The Chinese communist party is creating all sorts of trouble in their efforts to contain the Wuhan coronavirus. Having first made the mistake of suppressing the free flow of information regarding the initial outbreak, it has now made the mistake of initiating forced quarantines. As a consequence, the disease is now spreading like wildfire among police officers charged with the rounding up of sick people. The police and armed forces are now likely to be the most infected group of people in China.

This is reminiscent of the spread of the Black Death through Norway in the late medieval period. While horrible to all people, it was particularly bad for the ruling class and their minions. There were no survivors. The entire ruling class was wiped out.

If the Chinese communist party continue their mistakes, they may well find themselves in a similar situation. The police and the army will be decimated, and the close proximity between this part of the state and the ruling class itself makes it likely that we will soon see Chinese top politicians drop dead. If so, this might be the dawn of a completely new political arrangement in China.

Indonesian riot police.jpg

By AWG97 - Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, Link

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