Physics as Correlation, Causation and Mechanism

What, how and why are questions constantly asked by enquiring minds. When we see things happen, we want to know the full scope of the events. This is the what part of our enquiry. Then, we want to know how one sub-event led to another sub-event. This is the how part. And finally, we want to know the mechanism behind the sub-events. In addition to knowing how sub-events are related, we want to know why they are related.

This is the essence of science. However, ever since Newton wrote his masterpiece on physics, the why part of our enquiry has often been skipped. Newton wrote his book without ever proposing an underlying mechanism for his equations. His equations describe in detail how things are related, but say nothing about why things are as they are. Newton made no secret of this. He was completely open about the fact that the why part was omitted from his book. This caused a stir at the time. Some went so far as to call his book unscientific. But it's now considered highly scientific to present equations with little to no explanation as to why the equations work. Causation is sufficient. Mechanism is irrelevant.

This line of thinking has gone so far now that many confuse causation with mechanism. When asked why a steel ball starts moving in the direction that it has been hit, the standard explanation will refer to the direction of energy. Equations are then used to illustrate the relationship. However, this is not an explanation. It's an additional causation that happens to correlate to the direction of motion. It says nothing about why the ball starts moving.

On closer analysis, hardly anything in physics is explained mechanically these days. There are all sorts of measurable quantities, including exact equations binding these quantities together. But there's hardly a mechanical explanation to be found anywhere, and this is why I decided to come up with my own mechanics. I wanted to find a simple mechanical model to explain the why part of our enquiry, and what I discovered was that a strict particle model will do the trick. Everything, including time and space can be reduced to particles and motion.

Putting this model to the test, I found it capable of explaining every aspect of physics, from kinetics and optics to field forces and nuclear physics. Even quantum entanglement fitted into this model.

This doesn't mean that I claim to have the one true answer to all questions related to physics. There may be other theories that fit the what and how of physics just as well as mine. But the fact remains that the theory contained in my book is a complete one, capable of explaining the entirety of the physical world we live in.

A particle

The Shape of Things to Come

Biden has only been in office a few days, and things are already looking ugly in terms of popularity. All sorts of mistakes are being made, the latest of which being his decision to kick national guardsmen out of the Capitol where they've been sleeping rough for two weeks, supposedly to protect the Capitol against Trump supporters. Biden is also determined to go ahead with an impeachment of Trump, something that comes across as positively vindictive.

It's as if Biden is either oblivious to his lack of popularity or indifferent to it. This may be because he has the backing of every tech firm and every high ranking officer in every department and branch of government, and he can always print a few trillion dollars and dish it out to people if need be. From where he's sitting, it must look like his control is total. However, this is far from true.

Controlling the top of hierarchies is no substitute for popularity. Top managers rely on an army of middle managers who in turn rely on boots on the ground. If either of these layers stop functioning, things quickly unravel. If the army suddenly finds itself without recruits, the army stops functioning. If sheriffs stop enforcing laws, there's de-facto secession. If middle managers stop doing their jobs, things fall apart.

Popularity is vital for the functioning of a federal government. Without it, states and counties start acting autonomously. Taxes will not be forwarded to the federal government and troops will not be conscripted. The federal government will increasingly rely on money-printing. But this will weaken the dollar, and hence further reduce its grip on the federation. States may choose to scrap the federal dollar in favour of the constitutional gold based dollar.

Making this all the more difficult to avoid is the fact that none of this requires any direct confrontation with the federal government. There's no need for anyone to publically renounce the union. Once sheriffs stop enacting federal laws, and states start using their own money, secession is complete. No hostility towards Washington DC is needed for this to happen, and without hostility there's no way for an unpopular leader to muster an attack to rein in dissent.

Joe Biden

By The White House from Washington, DC - V011013DL-0556, Public Domain, Link

Mr Market's Descent Into Madness

It was back in April 2019 that I first noted a worrying development in the stock market. Starting from late 2017, the stock market has produced new all time highs as well as new lows. A 5 year chart of the S&P illustrates this clearly. This pattern is in turn inside a similar pattern that started back in 1980, with peeks in 2000, 2007 and (yet to be confirmed) 2021, and bottoms in 2002 and 2009.

If we extend the short term pattern, we find an expected low at 2100. That's down a whopping 40% from the current high of 3800. A bounce can be expected at around 2100, but the long term pattern tells us that this bounce might be short lived, only high enough to complete a head and shoulder pattern, after which S&P will go to its long term target of 600, down a stunning 80%.

The patterns we're seeing both short term and long term indicates instability. When seen in mechanical systems, such patterns indicate imminent collapse. In psychology, we'd term it deteriorating manic depressed behaviour. Mr Market looks mentally ill. There's a real danger that he may end up with a serious depression from which he will only recover very slowly.

Considering that Mr Market is a collective that reflects the mental state of society as a whole, we can conclude that things must be getting seriously weird out in the world. The trumpet-like shape of the short and long term S&P charts indicate mental instability at a massive scale, with people going from manic to depressed and back again within months, and with this madness becoming increasingly severe over time.

Looking back in time, we can ask ourselves whether this may be at least partially correct. Have things become increasingly strange since the 1980s? I'd say that it has. There was little in the way of hysteria back in the 80s. There was no scare related to man made global warming. There were no lockdowns. There was little magic thinking in which riches can be made from nothing. There was no crypto, no negative interest rates, no trillion dollar rescue packages. All of this, and a lot more like it, have come about since then. Mr Market is descending into madness because society as a whole is descending into madness.

By Dan Aasland - Flickr, CC BY-SA 2.0, Link

The Significance of the Latest Bernie Sanders Meme

Bernie Sanders has once again managed to become the star of a popular meme on the internet. However, this time, the meme is without any comments. It's merely a funny meme, and the mainstream conclusion from this is that there's no political message contained in it. However, this ignores the fact that the picture of Bernie was captured at Joe Biden's inauguration. Bernie is not merely sitting in a chair. He's attending the inauguration of a rival who many believe to have defrauded Sanders of the Democrat nomination.

Sanders is not just anybody. He's the man who could have been president, and the fact that his mere presence at the inauguration generates more excitement and good humour than the president elect himself is a clear message and an omen of things to come. It's not only the Republicans that see Joe Biden as a soulless crook. Many Democrats see him the same way.

Joe Biden is #notmypresident. However, no-one is taking to the streets. No-one is organizing into groups. The president is so soulless that he cannot even muster a proper protest. Instead, he's being ridiculed by a meme that shows his inauguration as an empty and cold affair. Going forward, Biden is going to see more of this. It will be subtle and indirect. People are turning away from politics, not in anger, but in disgust. Hardly anyone sees Joe Biden as their representative, and the consequence of this will be that all sorts of things will become difficult to keep together, including the union itself.

Bernie Sanders

By Gage Skidmore from Surprise, AZ, United States of America - Bernie Sanders, CC BY-SA 2.0, Link

How Gold Cures Socialism

Socialism is based on the false belief that the state can provide for us in much the same way that a loving parent cares for their children. It appeals to feminine instincts related to care and security. Promoters of socialism are therefore keen to subvert the family, especially bread-winners, so as to put themselves in the driving seat. Welfare provided internally in families is replaced by welfare provided by the state. Bread-winners are encouraged to go into debt. Their savings, eroded by inflation. The state becomes in this way the anchor, superior to the pitiful bread-winner, indebted and impoverished.

This process has been so successful that most people today are socialists in some way. Hardly anyone want to dismantle the welfare state. The belief is that families are inferior to the state when it comes to welfare, a belief that is correct to the extent that many people now are so impoverished that they really can't take care of themselves. The process of continued impoverishment is therefore likely to continue. If we're not careful, even the most prudent among us will end up dependent on the state. However, there is a way to revert this process. It requires no central organization, no banding together in groups, and no protests. It can be done separately by individual families, and the rewards are immediate. I know this because I've done this myself.

Recognizing the erosive nature of monetary inflation, I decided to sell my house in Norway, pay down all debt, and put my savings into gold rather than a savings account. This had the immediate effect of reducing my taxable wealth to zero. My cash-flow flipped from negative to positive. Without the fees and taxes associated with the house, I was able to turn my finances around. I had escaped the real-estate trap. I was once again in control of my finances.

Then, something unexpected happened. The mere sight of the physical gold made my wife far less socialist in her views. Her tenderness towards the state was re-directed towards me, and this process has continued to this day. The decisive moment was the day she got to see the gold and hold it in her hands. What had been mere numbers and abstract talk was all of a sudden real, and the psychological impact of this was immediate. This ability of gold to flip people from socialist to libertarian is no doubt known to the state and the reason the state is so eager to demonize gold.

A further concern for the state is the fact that gold is scarce. There's only 20 grams of above ground gold per person. To own an average share of this, a family of five needs no more than 100 grams. It's easy for a family to amass sufficient gold to become independent of the banking system and its fiat currency. Gold can be used as security internally in the family. Family members with access to cheap credit can in this way provide the entire family with cheap credit. The gold circulates internally in the family without ever being sold. This non-binary approach can thus benefit everyone. The power of the banking system is greatly reduced, reducing in turn the grip of the state over the family.

Gold's anchor to the physical world is of great psychological value, probably because this link is intuitively understood to give gold stability in terms of purchasing power. Gold will always be more valuable than silver, which in turn is more valuable than eggs, butter and milk. My wife's reaction to seeing our gold was therefore natural and immediate. She could literally see and feel our riches.

This is not true for fiat or crypto, which have little to no physical existence. They don't have the same psychological impact because numbers don't relate to things in the same way that things relate to things. The number 100 is bigger than 10 and less than 1000, but none of this tells us how many eggs we can get for it. The abstraction renders fiat and crypto worthless as long term stores of value. There's no way of telling what 100 Bitcoin may buy in the future because Bitcoin lacks any physical properties that we can relate to. The cure to socialism is therefore not Bitcoin, but gold and silver.

Gold gives us immediate control of our finances, it provides security for the family, and it bypasses the banking system. It renders us sovereign, with loyalties directed towards family members rather than the state. Gold cures socialism wherever it's adopted. It's therefore an important tool in spreading liberty. Liberty minded people should own gold for themselves and encourage others to do the same. Safe in the knowledge that gold cures socialism, we can focus our narrative on the immediate benefits of owning gold. No-one needs to be told that gold ownership is in the end a strong political force on the side of liberty. 

Sovereign

By Heritage Auctions for image, Mary Gillick for coin - Newman Numismatic Portal, Public Domain, Link

Politics as Narrative-control and Deception

Party politics is based on a lie. It professes that we need coercively inclined people to take control of our lives for our own safety and wellbeing. The more overreaching the state becomes, the more it professes this idea. It's promoted through all available channels and at all times. Under tyranny, there's no let up.

Most people become in this way victims to the state. They take sides in a battle of colours, where each team present its own flavour of control. However, no team is without an agenda. By engaging in the battle of colours, we subsume the idea of control and need to subjugate dissent. Blinded by superficial arguments relating to the exact nature of various phenomena, people become dupes to the political elite who toss upon us all sorts of emotional nonsense.

This has become especially apparent over the last twelve months. There's been a torrent of facts related to Covid, as well as the climate and the virtue of democracy, all with a clear and singular message. Only by blind obedience to authority can we expect to ever become both free and safe. The narrative has been strictly controlled. So much so that it has revealed itself for what it is.

Impressed by my ability to predict the early developments related to the Covid pandemic, my stepdaughter wanted to learn more about my predictions. She was open to whatever thoughts I had on the subject, and I told her then that politics is best viewed as narrative-control and deception. From that angle, all sorts of things can be predicted and tested for validity. Case in point was the repeated mentioning of a second wave of Covid. I asked her what she made of it, and she replied that it might mean that there would be a second lock down after summer. Then, I asked her how many victims to Covid she would personally know by then, to which she replied a handful at most. As it turned out, she was right on both counts. There's currently a lockdown in place, and the only death in the family due to Covid was that of aunt Augusta.

This has been an eye-opening experience for my stepdaughter. Armed with a simple model of the state, all sorts of things become clear. Not only is she able to make fairly accurate predictions, she's also able to analyse the nature of political fads, such as the ever-present climate scare. The climate has not in fact changed over time. Every prediction of imminent disaster has come to nothing. Yet, the narrative is still in full force, revealing to her all the more clearly that politics really is about deception and narrative-control.

Not only has my stepdaughter taken my model to heart, my wife is similarly impressed by its power of prediction. She's gone from being a mindless consumer of news to a sceptic, always looking for the narrative and its likely implications. Even my nine year old son is catching on to this. When a politician complained the other day about people coming together in public parks, talking face to face, without a face-mask, I exclaimed: "Oh, the horror. People having fun, talking to each other. Without a face-mask!" my son rolled over laughing.

This general scepticism and model of analysis is now spreading through the social network of my stepdaughter and wife. They mention my model in various ways, influencing in turn their circle of friends. The fact that the model works well as a tool for predictions reveals the lie of the state while at the same time empowering those who adopt it. It spreads through the network because it works.

The big difference between a lie and truth is that a lie has no power of prediction, while truth has great power of prediction. This is how we identify man made global warming as a lie. Truth reveals party politics as a system of manipulation. It reveals the manipulative nature of media, including social media. We recognize the lie. We find ways to stay away from it. When we analyse data in light of truth, we see things coming, and we're able to avoid much suffering that would otherwise strike us without warning.

This is not to say that we can go lightly through the chaos, undisturbed by the nonsense tossed upon us. When the prime minister of Portugal publically pronounces anyone not wearing the face-mask correctly as an enemy of the state, it's clear that we cannot simply ignore it. We must wear the mask of the beast. To do otherwise would be to put ourselves and our family in danger of the mob who gladly take on the job as voluntary enforcers of the prime minister's will.

The mask of the beast

The Bitcoin Kill Switch: Ports 8333 and 18333

Bitcoin has a kill switch hidden in plain sight. I wasn't aware of it myself before I read Looney's comments on this article. Instead of me paraphrasing him, I'll simply cut and paste his comment here:

“Bitcoin and other Cryptos CAN be easily blocked by the Dot-Gov, BECAUSE it is a distributed network. Here’s why…

All Internet-based applications use specific ports. For example, email (SMTP) requires ports 25, 26, 465, and 587.

All browsers need at least two ports: 80 (HTTP) and 443 (HTTPS).

If you want to be able to upload and download files, port 21 (FTP) must be open.

All these “well-known” or “system ports” are usually open on all routers, firewalls, and Telecom switches.

If the Dot-Gov wants to outlaw Bitcoin, they can simply enact a law requiring all Internet Service Providers to block two Bitcoin Ports: 8333 and 18333. That will stop all communications between all Bitcoin Nodes! Heck, I ain’t no constitutional scholar, but they can do it via an Executive Order and the SCOTUS, as always, will play possum…   ;-)

The same goes for all other “coins” – Ethereum, for example, uses port 30303 (and 8545 for JSON-RPC).

Now… When two computers or nodes communicate with each other, they can be set to use different ports.

However, it cannot be done on a “distributed consensus network” such as BitCoin, because port 8333 is a part of that consensus and all nodes must use the same port!

So, guys, be very careful with your Cryptos – one day you may wake up and find that your Cold Wallet ain’t worth shīt.  ;-)”

Looney

Then he adds:

BTW… Cryptos are an existential threat to ALL governments, central banks, and the banking system as a whole. Don’t think for a moment that if it gets blocked here at home, you will take your Cold Wallet to another country.

If/when they outlaw Cryptos, it will happen everywhere, practically overnight. Even our so called “adversaries” will gladly join the Crypto Massacre (CryptoNacht ?).   ;-)

Looney

In short, ports 8333 and 18333 constitute the Bitcoin kill switch. All that's required in order to kill Bitcoin is to make it illegal to use these ports. Government can then have a company like Google sniff out all the computers that violate this and send them the list of violators.

This illustrates once again how important it is to be physically in possession of assets in times of tyranny. If you don't hold it, you don't own it. For most of us, this means that we cannot expect to own more than the house we live in and the gold and silver we've stashed away in some secret location. Only deep state insiders like Bill Gates can own acres of land and huge corporations without any great concern. However, even he may find one day that all is taken away from him, which explains his obsession with control over his fellow men.

 

By Marco Krohn - Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, Link