53,000 Cases of Monkeypox Worldwide

It's September 2, and we're approaching 53,000 cases of Monkeypox worldwide, as predicted eight days ago.

With roughly 875 new cases per day, the worldwide number of cases currently in hospitals can be estimated to be 8,750 based on an assumption that patients are released within 10 days.

It appears that we're following the downward trajectory we've been predicting based on data from Portugal. Assuming that this trend persist, we can make the following projection going forward:

• July 24 - 17,500 cases, 700 new cases per day, 7,000 inpatients
• August 1 - 24,000 cases, 750 new cases per day, 7,500 inpatients
• August 9 - 32,000 cases, 1,000 new cases per day, 10,000 inpatients
• August 17 - 39,000 cases, 875 new cases per day, 8,750 inpatients
• August 25 - 46,000 cases, 875 new cases per day, 8,750 inpatients
• September 2 - 53,000 cases, 875 new cases per day, 8,750 inpatients
• September 10 - 59,000 cases, 750 new cases per day, 7,500 inpatients
• September 18 - 65,000 cases, 750 new cases per day, 7,500 inpatients
• September 26 - 70,000 cases, 625 new cases per day, 6,250 inpatients

Pride flag

By Gilbert Baker (Vector graphics by Fibonacci) - SVG based on this image, Public Domain, Link