Thursday, June 29, 2023

Wagner in Belarus

It's impossible to say exactly what's going on in Russia, but one thing is certain, we're witnessing some deceptive political theatre. Nothing is what it seems on first glance. We have to dig deeper in order to figure out what's really happening.

One factor of importance is that the Wagner group has been dismantled inside Russia, but allowed to continue its existence in Belarus. This means that a large number of mercenaries have moved north of the current frontline, ready to strike the northern flank of the Ukrainian counteroffensive.

With Ukrainian soldiers unable to break through the Russian defensive lines, they are now in a precarious situation where they might find themselves stuck between Russian minefields to their east and Wagner units to their west and north.

200212-D-AP390-6107 (49672771878).jpg
Mark Esper with Jens Stoltenberg

By U.S. Secretary of Defense - 200212-D-AP390-6107, CC BY 2.0, Link

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