Gold, Bitcoin and China's Train Wreck

China's grey rhino, in the form of Evergrande, has progressed another ten days since I last wrote about it. As predicted, nothing has been done to stop it. Rather, it has been directed out and away from China. This has led to a drop in real-estate related assets in Hong Kong. China's financial export hub is primed for global distribution of China's financial train wreck. The world will be caught up in this debacle in ways similar to how the virus caused havoc everywhere after its initial outbreak inside China.

The likely outcome of this will be the same as it always is when asset bubbles pop. After an initial drop in price, gold goes up while everything else goes down.

The reason for this is that gold is sold for cash at the beginning by leveraged investors. But this stops relatively soon because few speculators have mush exposure to the yellow metal. They are mainly invested in the bubble. Once they've sold their gold, they continue to sell bubble assets, and whatever cash they get is then put into safe haven assets. The safe haven asset of choice is traditionally gold, and will again be gold because it's far from bubble territory at the moment. Historic data shows it to be underappreciated.

Looking at the daily gold chart, we see that gold is down since September 3. But it bounced on the news out of Hong Kong this morning. The selloff associated with the initial unwind may already be over. Bitcoin, on the other hand, is continuing its decline. It's not behaving like the safe haven asset that many believe it to be. On the contrary, it's behaving like the speculative asset that it actually is.

It's still early days in what looks increasingly likely to become a major sell off in risk assets, but the trend may already have been set. Gold will go up while everything else goes down.

Train wreck

By Photo credited to the firm Levy & fils by this site. (It is credited to a photographer "Kuhn" by another publisher [1].) - the source was not disclosed by its uploader., Public Domain, Link

A Visit to Burger King

We went for a stroll along Matosinhos beach last evening. Hardly anyone seemed very concerned about the virus. There were a few fearful ones wearing their masks, but most people have figured out the scam by now. There's nothing healthy about putting on a mask when out walking, and it's particularly nonsensical to put on a mask when out to catch a breath of fresh sea air.

It was a nice end to the day with temperatures hovering around 20C. Once the sun set, the temperatures dropped a little more. We felt peckish, so we decided to get ourselves some food at Burger King. We put on our masks, headed inside, and placed our orders at the self service machine. With temperatures a little low for sitting outside, we looked for a table inside. However, we were soon reminded that indoors dining is forbidden for the unvaccinated on Saturdays and Sundays. We were therefore instructed to eat our food outside.

We went outdoors where we found a table, and that's when it struck me how strange it was that there weren't anyone sitting inside, because the terrace outside was full of people, despite the relatively cool temperatures and the lack of proper lighting. People were sitting there despite these discomforts. Yet we're told that 85% of people in Portugal are vaccinated by now, so what's going on?

One reason could be that the 85% number does not apply to the complete population of Portugal. It applies to adults above a certain age, and most of the people at Burger King were young. However, even if the 85% number was accurate for the guests at the restaurant, there would be 15% who weren't vaccinated, and if the typical group of customers is 4 individuals, we get that the chance that everybody in a group are vaccinated is a mere 52%.

But if people were forced to sit outside due to a stubborn friend or two, the atmosphere wouldn't have been as upbeat as it was. People seemed content to sit outside; even quite happy. My wife felt this too. She sensed a spirit of defiance, as if sitting outside was an act of righteous rebellion.

We might have witnessed the early stages of of a trend I predicted back in August. Vaccine passports will be seen as a social burden rather than a privilege. Carrying one for everyday affairs indicate a willingness to submit, which is never a cool thing among friends. Hence, even the vaccinated will prefer to avoid the use of their passports.

This will in turn lead to a certain reverence towards the unvaccinated, because we will be perceived as the most committed to the cause of liberty. Our refusal to submit will be seen as strength, rather than insolence.

All that's needed to push this trend further, is to remain calm and unafraid. Pointing out the nonsensical nature of the rules and the relatively harmless nature of the virus will serve this purpose.

This will make people start to actively seek alternatives wherever vaccines are mandated. Once people realize that vaccines have nothing to do with health, and everything to do with control, they will be seen as bureaucratic measures to be avoided as much as possible.

My wife believes that vaccines will be mandated for everyone at some point. But she also expects to see loopholes. Her colleagues will find workarounds, not least because they need her more than she needs them. She too has taken on the mindset of a sovereign, and it's making her decidedly happy about things.

I was right in my assessment when my wife expressed her intention to get vaccinated. She wanted me to put my foot down, which I did. The result of this is that she too sees herself as a sovereign. How could it be any other way? She's married to a sovereign. Becoming a serf for the elite was therefore never an option, and I proved this by saying no to her expressed intention.

Matosinhos beach

Water, Cloud Formation and Geology

Dr. Gerald Pollack is an engaging speaker with interesting thoughts and observations about water, and how it relates to electricity and light. His lecture on this is well worth a listen. Among other things, he explains how clouds are able to hang in the air without falling down, and how cloud formations stick together to form large structures.

Similarly, Henrik Svensmark's documentary on cloud formation highlights some interesting aspects of weather patterns, especially the importance of cosmic radiation in the formation of clouds.

Clouds aren't merely the result of heat and water vapor. There has to be aerosols in the air for them to form, and these aerosols come about naturally through cosmic radiation. This finding was contested in its time because it suggests that climate change is linked to variations in sun activity rather than human activity. But Svensmark managed to prove his theory, and his findings are now widely acknowledged. The water droplets that make up clouds require cosmic radiation to form.

This finding leads to another puzzle, highlighted by Pollack. How is it that the water droplets stick together to form clouds, and why don't they fall down onto the ground? The answer to this can be found in the way water reacts to electromagnetic radiation, both in the visible and infrared range. Water, it turns out, becomes negatively charged in the presence of light.

With the surface of our planet also negatively charge, we end up with electrostatic repulsion between the ground and water droplets in clouds, and this is how clouds are kept suspended in the air.

Based on this, it seems strange that clouds stick together. Wouldn't the electrostatic repulsion that exists between ground and water droplets also make water droplets separate from each other? The answer to this riddle can be found in the fact that the air between each water droplet is positively charged. Hence, we get an effect similar to what we have in the formation of molecules. The droplets push on each other, but the air that fills the gap between them pull them together. The equilibrium becomes the fluffy structures that we call clouds.

Rain can in turn be explained in terms of charge balancing. If a cloud becomes a lot more negatively charged than the ground, there will come a point where some of the charge in the cloud needs to be shared with the ground. Letting drops fall to the ground is an efficient way to do this. Even more efficient is the production of lightning. Thus we can see rain as a dark mode of electric flow between clouds and air, and lightning as the arc mode of this same electric flow.

An interesting observation in all of this is that storms have an eye in their center. This eye consists of dry positively charged air, and it's this eye that holds the storm together. The negatively charged clouds stick to the eye that is held open through electrostatic repulsion between positively charged air molecules.

This same mechanism is likely to exist at the center of stars and planets. They too are likely to be hollow due to electrostatic repulsion. The negatively charged crust is in turn kept together in large part by this positively charge center.

Cross section of a hollow planet

This type of stability that comes as a consequence of two opposing forces acting together can also explain the stability of orbits. Gravity pulls astronomic objects together from their center. Electrostatic forces act from their surfaces to push them apart.

Stability through gravitational pull and electrostatic push

This can in turn explain why our moon is receding from us. If our planet is expanding, as it seems to have been doing ever since the dinosaurs, then our planet's capacitance is increasing, leading to more surface charge. More surface charge leads to stronger electrostatic repulsion, and hence a receding moon.

Expanding Earth seen from the South Pole

In the end, everything is following the same pattern. There are opposing forces at all levels of existence, and they act together to form the stable structures that we see everywhere around us.

Dealing with Psychopaths

My wife and I are watching a remarkably well made TV series from Norway. It's about four rich guys who get together to enjoy what they each perceive as the good life. They are all cynics, and believe in hedonism as a lifestyle. However, they also have their own quirks that make them distinctly different from each other. There's the controlling husband. There's the man who refuses to tell a lie. There's the aimless drifter to whom nothing but immediate pleasures hold any value, and there's the suicidal one with money trouble.

I have not seen the end of the series, but I suspect the aimless drifter will end up helping his suicidal friend in some way. We have already been introduced to his sniper rifle and his stack of cash, so this is pretty much a certainty. However, the more interesting sub-plot is the dynamics between the controlling husband and his wife, and how the guy who refuses to tell a lie blows up that relationship.

The controlling husband uses typical psychopath trickeries to control his wife. All troubles in their relationships are ascribed to her. She's too concerned with what he's up to. She's reading too much into things. She's overreacting. Their failure to get kids are due to her being too tense and anxious. Additionally, he makes her financially dependent on him by insisting that she enjoys her life without any worry about money. He's dishing out money in order to control her.

All of this has the effect of making his wife deeply insecure about everything. She internalizes these insecurities, and defends her husband whenever someone points out that he's not as loving towards her as he should be. However, all it takes for the spell to be broken is a few well chosen words from the guy who tells no lies. When she asks him if her husband would be a good father, his reply is no. Not only would her husband be a terrible father, he's sterile. There will be no children, at least not with her husband.

With the spell broken, control is lost, and the final episode will show how quickly everything unravels.

The story is accurate on all levels. I used to live among this kind of people, and the atmosphere and the way they talk and dress is spot on. The dark humor equally so. Many of the details are taken from real events, which further adds to the sense that these people really do exist. But the story is not in the end about the financial elite of Oslo. The plot has a universal angle to it. It shows how money is but a means to an end, and that this can be used constructively or destructively.

The guy that tells no lies is brutally honest because he can afford it. The controlling husband cares not for money but for control. The aimless drifter doesn't care about anything but his own pleasures. The only one obsessing about money is the one in money trouble.

With this in mind, it's a lot easier to understand what's going on in the world of politics. The psychopaths have taken over, and they care not for money because they can print as much of it as they like. What they want is control, and they want it for no other reason than control itself. This is pretty much identical to the dysfunctional relationship between the controlling husband and his wife.

We are encouraged to stop working and depend on the state for money instead. We're constantly blamed for all the faults in the world. Be it the virus or the climate, it's all due to our selfish and narrow minded view of the world.

Those in the grip of the psychopaths go around defending their oppressors in much the same way that the dependent wife defends her psychopath husband. No amount of arguments or logic will make them change their minds. However, a few well chosen words of truth will break the spell, and from what I see around me, it looks like people are waking up to the fact that government is an institution that attracts psychopaths by its very nature.

Government is about control. It's about forcing people into doing things that they would not otherwise do. With free access to money, there's basically no limit to how deranged government will get, and what we've seen over the past years and a half is proof of this.

But the psychopaths have a problem. Once people wake up, they can no longer be controlled, and this appears to be happening everywhere. All it takes to continue the awakening is to speak the truth. No-one has to shout anything from rooftops. If we merely state the obvious whenever appropriate, people will wake from their slumber and realize that the government is not some benevolent father, but a controlling husband of the most abusive kind.

Boris Johnson

By Ben Shread / Cabinet Office, OGL 3, Link

The Michelson-Morley Experiment

I received an e-mail from a man named Jean de Climont a few days ago. It was about the Michelson-Morley experiment and how it ought to be performed in space. He included a PDF and a YouTube video promoting this idea. The video includes a summary on the history of optics and how it relates to aether theory.

As noted in the video, the Michelson-Morley experiment was designed to test the aether as a motionless solid; a hypothesis that was abandoned soon after the discovery of the photon. The experiment served to disprove the solid aether hypothesis. However, it didn’t disprove the existence of an aether. A fluid aether that’s easily dragged by solid objects would be consistent with the experiment.

My proposed aether is of the highly fluid kind that adopts readily to all reference frames, including boxed compartments and rooms. The Michelson-Morley experiment, which compares the speed of light in one direction to that of another direction should therefore come up with a null result, especially in enclosed spaces. But, as noted in the video, recent measurements based on modern technology has picked up signals indicating drift. The speed of light appears to be dependent on direction, which would suggest the existence of a fluid aether if confirmed.

An experiment carried out in space would be one way to test this further. But if the aether is as fluid as I suspect, it must be carried out in free space, and not inside a spacecraft if it is to fully detect the aether as it relates to the solar system. Furthermore, the equipment must not be contained in a box. The laser beams must travel through space with nothing covering their path. Only then will we be able to detect the full effect of the spacecraft’s motion relative to the solar system.

A spacecraft traveling around the sun in the opposite direction to Earth should register a significant deviation in the speed of light because it will be traveling against the aether as it’s dragged around the sun.

The same experiment, performed inside the spacecraft should register a much smaller deviation. That would verify the fluid nature of the aether, and its tendency to latch onto whatever reference frame there happens to be in a given region of space.

The experiment performed outside the spacecraft should register the aether with the solar system as its reference frame. The experiment performed inside the spacecraft should register the aether with the spacecraft as its reference frame.

Modern optical resonator

By User:Stigmatella aurantiaca - Own work, CC BY-SA 3.0, Link

Sudden Adult Death Syndrome

It happened in July, but I was only made aware of this story yesterday. A 25 year old society girl died suddenly for no good reason at all. Her illness lasted a mere 16 hours, with no symptoms whatsoever prior to her sudden headache and vomiting.

With no explanation for her sudden illness and death, the event has been noted down as a case of sudden adult death syndrome. A connection to the vaccine has been ruled out due to the fact that she received her second shot in March, four months prior to her death. However, this assumes that vaccines are only deadly for a short while after injection. That seems unlikely, given the active nature of mRNA vaccines.

But there's no surprise in this. When a nurse in Porto died only days after receiving her first shot, that too was put down to sudden adult death syndrome.

If there's no virus, the cause of death is always difficult to establish. That's what we're told. However, if there's evidence of any virus, there's no doubt about the cause, as was evident in the death of aunt Augusta, who died from the virus even though no-one in her family was aware of her having caught the flu. She was morbidly overweight and had one foot in the grave, yet it was the virus that killed her.

This is the state of medical science these days, and the reason we have to rely more on direct observations than the opinion of experts. One thing to look for is any increase in sudden and unexplainable deaths. Another thing to look for is any increase in searches for this phenomenon.

As it turns out, people are dropping dead all over the place for no good reason at all. Searches for sudden adult death syndrome are up 400%. There appears to be an increasing awareness that something sinister is afoot, and that it's related to the vaccines.

Wax plant

Propaganda Wearing Thin

I'm not sure what caused the surge in mask wearing yesterday, because the compliance with this recommendation has dropped back to about 40% where it was two days ago. Whatever propaganda was tossed at the serfs didn't stick, and the reason for this can be found in basic psychology.

The idea was clearly to shame people into submission: Responsible people wear their masks, even if there's no law requiring us to do so. Only the irresponsible and selfish take advantage of their freedom.

This logic explains why there were so many people making a deliberate act of their submission to the mask recommendation. They were making a point of being responsible and caring, and they were trying to shame me into submission. However, an act of submission cannot be used in this way. The submissive is never the master, and this must have become clear to just about everyone over the last 24 hours.

The ones still wearing their masks are the submissive ones. They also display signs of depression. They look down, they avoid eye contact, and their posture is often hunched. Those without a mask hold their heads high, their posture is assertive, and they look confident and happy.

The failed propaganda push has only highlighted this distinction. The ones with no masks were noticeably upbeat this morning. The ones wearing their masks were all the more depressed.

Reeve and serfs

By anonymous (Queen Mary Master) - this file: scan dated 2009, uploaded (without identification of the source) 12 May 2010 by Ann Scott (medievalminds.comReeve-and-Serfs.original1.jpg), Public Domain, Link