However, there is an alternative theory that makes the exact same prediction. It sees hurricanes as mainly electrical in nature, and therefore something that comes and goes in intensity according to the sunspot cycles. When the sun is active, with many sunspots, Earth is well shielded and there is little hurricane activity. But when there are few sunspots, Earth is exposed and there is an increase in hurricane activity.
Historical data supports the electric model. Almost all of the most severe hurricanes in recorded history have occurred during solar minimums. The fact that global temperatures are relatively low during such minimums has not dampened the severity of storms. Rather, the opposite appears to have been the case. Solar minimums are associated with cooler temperatures AND more severe weather.
Since we are currently moving into a solar minimum, there is no way of telling whether the uptick in hurricane activity is due to man-made global warming or low solar activity. However, we can say with certainty that such upticks have historically been associated with low sunspot numbers, and not higher temperatures. The assumption that higher temperatures will lead to more severe storms has no basis in historical facts.
Current prediction for Sunspot Cycle 24
By David Hathaway, NASA, Marshall Space Flight Center – http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/predict.shtml, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=28557779
For more in depth information of the relationship between light, electricity and weather, I can highly recommend the lectures by Dr. Gerald Pollack. He makes a very compelling case for the electric nature of various weather phenomena.
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