Tuesday, January 6, 2026

Intervention in Venezuela

Here are some bullet points of what the Trump administration achieved with its night raid of Caracas, and what we can expect to see going forward:

  • A more cooperative tone from the new government in Caracas.
  • Venezuelan oil no longer sold in other currencies than the dollar.
  • Oil prices will be kept low through increased output from Venezuela.
  • Trial of Mr. and Mrs. Maduro will expose criminal involvement by western banks and politicians opposed to Trump and his policies.
  • Mr. and Mrs. Maduro will most likely go free. But only after many revelations related to criminal activities among Trump's foes.
  • This will help Trump win the midterm elections.

Uncle Sam Straddles the Americas Cartoon.jpg
Monroe doctrine

By Louis Dalrymple - https://diplomacy.state.gov/stories/the-monroe-doctrine-the-united-states-and-latin-american-independence/, Public Domain, Link

Friday, January 2, 2026

Continued Snow and Ice Accumulation

Winter is well on its way, and the UN's own data indicate that it's going to be a snowy one.

Snow and Ice accumulation 2025 to 2026
Snow and Ice accumulation 2025 to 2026

Just like last winter:

Snow and Ice accumulation 2024 to 2025
Snow and Ice accumulation 2024 to 2025

And the winter before that:

Snow and Ice accumulation 2023 to 2024
Snow and Ice accumulation 2023 to 2024

If this trend continues, we'll be having the sixth straight winter with above average snow fall, according to the UN's own scientists.

Glaciation

Note that every year ends with accumulation of snow and ice. So, we can conclude that the northern hemisphere is in fact gaining ice, and that this has been going on for six years straight.

Nine Year Cycles

Numerology has a fascination for the number nine. So, when a year is divisible by nine, they give it special significance. It is, according to this superstition, the end of a cycle. A year of completion, whereupon a new cycle starts.

So, 2025 is considered an important because it's divisible by nine. As it happens it's also divisible by nine times nine, which makes it even more significant.

Personal experience

This triggered my curiosity. Because it fits well with my own situation, as well as that of many of my nearest.

Going nine years back in time, I was in the process of selling my house in Asker, Norway. The money I made from this, I put into gold, which I have just started selling. My wife and I have just bought a house in Fermil de Basto, Portugal for some of the gold we purchased nine years ago.

Nine years before then, I had just started my move out of Norway. This move didn't fully complete before I sold my house in Asker.

Family and friends

My daughter in Norway has similarly bought a house in Bergen this year.

My oldest son in Norway has had something of a break through as a cameraman on film sets. He's gone from nine years of struggle to up and coming. Nine years into the future, he's likely to be well established.

My youngest son in Norway works for a company that has recently expanded. So, he's likely to see more responsibilities and better salaries.

My wife has, after nine years+ of struggle, established herself in the niche trade of machine knitting. She's seeing success both as a teacher and in sales of her products.

My stepdaughter has established herself as an interpreter in the EU parliament.

A friend of mine here in Porto has bought a house, and gotten married.

Politics

2025 marked the end of a bigger cycle that started nine times nine years ago. That would be 1944. The end of the second world war, and the start of the welfare state. An unsustainable system that is unlikely to last for much longer.

This coincides well with my sense that 2022 marked a turning point in politics. The chaos that we've seen over the last nine years are typical for the end of unsustainable systems. We're moving into a new era where people will rely less on the state. Most institutions introduced after 1944 will be gone within the next eight decades.

Super-cycles

Built into this logic, we have super-cycles that last 9^3 years. That is 729.

With year 1 being the height of the Roman empire, under emperor Augustus, we have a natural start to our cycles.

Year 729, although unremarkable in itself, is smack in the middle of the so called dark ages. The political structure is no longer that of empire. Instead, we had private kingdoms.

However, private kingdoms came to an end some 729 years later. By1458, the renaissance was in full swing. Private states changed into nation states. Taxation became systematic. The state went from being a private enterprise, often privately funded, to a powerful machinery of taxation, warfare, colonialism and corporate expansion.

This system is still in operation. But we are past its peak. The death of the welfare state is likely to take the nation state down with it. A new system will emerge. Most likely based on natural law and voluntary interactions between individuals.

The start of this new super-era will according to the super-cycle theory be year 2187. That is only two big cycles away. We can therefore expect the nation state to whither away over the next 162 years.

There will be an attempt to revive this dying system during this coming big cycle. There will also be a last ditch attempt to do so in the next big cycle. But the nation state will be as archaic in 2187 as Rome was in 729. Everybody will remember it, often fondly. But no-one will seriously try to revive it.

Andrea del Castagno 004.jpg
Vitality and strength

By Andrea del Castagno - The Yorck Project (2002) 10.000 Meisterwerke der Malerei (DVD-ROM), distributed by DIRECTMEDIA Publishing GmbH. ISBN: 3936122202., Public Domain, Link

Thursday, January 1, 2026

Annual Status Update

Things are going to change at a brisker pace going forward, so I will update our status annually rather than biannually as has been my habit until now.

The change in pace is due to the house my wife and I bought in October. It requires refurbishment, which means that we're in the process of moving some of our gold into real-estate.

We have in other words started a process of rebalancing.

The following changes have taken place in the markets since my previous assessments:

The Dow/Gold ratio has declined, which means that gold has outperformed the Dow:

  • Jan 2017 = 16.4
  • Jan 2019 = 18.2
  • Jan 2021 = 16.2
  • Jan 2023 = 18.8
  • Jan 2025 = 16.3
  • Jan 2026 = 10.0

The PSI20/Gold ratio is also down, continuing its quarter century decline. It's currently standing at an all time low of 70.

PSI gold ratio


Having rebalanced in October, we're now equally exposed to real-estate and gold:

  • Jan 2017: 10 part real-estate, 20 part gold, 5 part cash - for a total of 35
  • Jan 2019: 15 part real-estate, 20 part gold, 5 part cash - for a total of 40
  • Jan 2021: 20 part real-estate, 30 part gold, 3 part cash - for a total of 53
  • Jan 2023: 24 part real-estate, 33 part gold, 3 part cash - for a total of 60
  • Jan 2025: 24 part real-estate, 40 part gold, 6 part cash - for a total of 70
  • Jan 2026: 5 part real-estate, 5 part gold, 1 part cash - for a total of 11

Looking forward in time, we expect to see the following balance by this time next year:

  • Jan 2027: 6 part real-estate, 5 part gold, 1 part cash - for a total of 12

The projected numbers are based on an assumption of higher real-estate and gold prices. But our shift from gold to real-estate will benefit our real-estate holdings at the expense of our gold holding.

1914 Sydney Half Sovereign - St. George.jpg
British gold sovereign

By Benedetto Pistrucci - Own work, Public Domain, Link

Significant Changes in Reported Deaths

It's now six years since the beginning of the pandemic. Yet, according to Wikipedia's data, we're still seeing excess deaths, sometimes as high as 60%.

Excess deaths according to Wikipedia
Excess deaths according to Wikipedia

From the above chart, we see that April and May of 2021 was particularly bad.

We can also see a new tendency for December. Because it has been persistently deadly ever since 2020.

Finally, we can see that big excess death numbers didn't appear before March 2020. That was the month the state got involved. Health bureaucrats began prescribing new health procedures, medication and lockups.

From this alone, we get an indication that it was the state, rather than the virus, that caused the excess deaths.

Excess deaths started with government mandates, peaked with the introduction of vaccines in 2021, and remained persistently high ever since.

December has become a particularly severe month due to annual shots being administrated in November.

But the story doesn't end here. Because there is more evidence to be found from analysis of what age groups are hit the hardest.

Deaths before 70

People don't normally die before the age of 70. So, it's interesting to see at what age the deaths occur. Because it tells us what age group is the hardest hit.

Deaths before 70 years of age
Deaths before 70 years of age

From the above chart, we see that deaths among those younger than 70 jumped higher in 2021, and that it remained high until 2025. Then, there was a curious drop from 22.5% to 20.5% in 2025.

This is remarkable. So, something significant must have happened.

Either, Wikipedia has introduced a new policy, where young deaths are underreported, or the behavior of those older than 70 has diverged from that of younger people.

If the numbers are underreported we must conclude that the actual numbers are higher than presented.

On the other hand, if this is due to a change in behavior, we have even more reason to suspect the vaccine. Because the significant change in behavior we've seen the past year is a growing skepticism against the vaccine among young people. While old people still get their annual shots, young people don't.

So, we can again conclude that the vaccine has done more harm than good, and that it continues to do so. 

Sunday, December 28, 2025

Predictions for 2026

2025 is coming to an end, and it's time to make another assessment of previously made predictions, as well as a new set of predictions going forward.

Assessment of predictions made for 2024

My last full year prediction was made late 2023.

Much of it didn't come true in 2024. But by 2025, I've been proven right.

This is not the first time this has happened.

I keep making accurate predictions as far as events are concerned. My problem is that I keep thinking they are more imminent than they were.

So, I will draw out my timelines as I make predictions going forward.

The new era

My assessment of 2022, made back in early 2023, was that the so called Progressive era that started in 1913, has come to an end.

This assessment looks increasingly accurate. Progressive era institutions are devolving, and new doctrines are emerging.

This will almost certainly continue in the years ahead.

Devolving institutions:

  • The WHO
  • UN climate science
  • NATO
  • EU
  • Western central banks
  • Islam
  • Socialist policies

Emerging institutions and doctrines:

  • New Monroe doctrine (the "Donroe" doctrine)
  • Gold back finance
  • Russia-Chinese cooperation
  • India
  • Africa tilting East
  • Christian renaissance
  • Libertarian politics

Geopolitics

The US is in the process of pulling out of Europe. So, Europe will have to find its own way. The push is currently for continued hostilities towards Russia. But I won't think this will continue for long.

The war in Ukraine will end with Russian victory. The war in Gaza will end with Israel winning at the expense of its popularity. However, the US will continue to support Israel.

With the EU in decline, European nations will go their own way. They will choose cooperation and trade with Russia over armed conflict.

Africa will see US interfere in regions where militant Islam is active. The Russians will be active in the Sahel, where they will keep France out. China will also expand their influence.

The net result will not be proxy wars, but peace and economic growth.

South America will continue to tilt towards libertarian doctrines, led by Argentina. The result will be economic growth followed by population growth.

India and China will continue their growth. This may result in more tensions. But here too, peace will prevail.

Health

Common sense health is currently replacing institutional health.

This will result in improved health, especially in the US, as predicted back in May.

Price inflation

Gold went up a whopping 50% this year It's currently trading at $4,500, which is more than 100%.

This means that we have blown past the two technical limits at $3,000 and $4,000, found in the long chart.

It also means that we're headed for hyper-inflation. Because the gold price is a reliable early indicator of monetary weakness.

Western central banks are in decline, and the only way out is a gold based standard.

Price inflation will be high by end 2026, but probably not into extremes.

As a consequence, some gold based alternative will establish visibility. There will be some early adaption.

This new money will either come reluctantly from the public sector, or it will emerge from the private sector due to market demand.

Popular politics

Trump has introduced a new type of politics that is confusing his opponents.

It consists of a combination of trolling and real-politics. While his opponents get hung up in his trolling, real changes are made to the global order.

This makes it look like socialism and Islam is making a comeback. However, the opposite is true. Conservative and libertarian forces are getting stronger.

Christians are turning away from controlled institutions, which makes it look like this religion is in decline. But we're merely seeing a shift away from institutions. There's even a an awakening going on.

This trend has only started.

Demographics

This is another long term trend that is largely misunderstood.

There are, within all nations, a considerable subgroup that reproduces above sustainability. So, it is incorrect to linearly expand the current population decline.

What is in fact going on is that the anti-population groups within nations are going extinct.

The pro-population groups, on the other hand, are growing.

The pro-population consists of conservatives, libertarians and Christians. So, the future will turn increasingly towards these ideologies. However, it will take years before this trend becomes obvious.

Education

With conservatives, libertarians and Christians in the ascent, education will turn away from socialism and anti-population doctrines such as climate hysteria and the like.

This too will emerge slowly at first, before becoming obvious some years down the line.

Conclusion

2026 will be marked by continuing chaos. However, patterns will start to emerge. The new era is taking shape.

Quarterly performance of gold up until 2026
Quarterly performance of gold up until 2026



Wednesday, November 12, 2025

Mass as Aether Interaction

Mass is a central concept in physics. Yet, when people go looking for it by smashing matter into bits, they find nothing but neutral or charged fragments.

It's almost as if mass is hiding somewhere. But where could that be?

Conventional physics

In conventional physics, space is but an empty void. So, the only place to look for mass is inside matter. But decades of looking has revealed nothing.

Some may say that the Higgs Boson is where mass is hiding. But the evidence for this is far from conclusive. So, mass is conventionally thought of as something fundamental to matter. Wherever there is matter, there is mass.

No further explanation is given.

Aether physics

However, in aether physics, space is not an empty void.

Space has many properties. Among other things, it interacts constantly with matter. So, space is taken into consideration in all matters related to kinetics.

From objective analysis we find that there are three distinct types of acceleration. All of them adhering to Newton's formulas, where mass is fundamental.

These accelerations are:

As we will see, all of these accelerations involve the aether in different ways. Yet, there's a common denominator that makes them identical for purposes of calculations, and this common denominator is what we refer to as mass.

But there is no mass as a thing of its own in the real world. In aether physics, mass is but an abstraction derived from the fact that aether interacts with matter.

To see how this works, we need to look closer at how matter interacts with the aether.

Linear acceleration due to directly applied force

Of the three accelerations mentioned above, acceleration due to directly applied force is the only one that adds energy to matter.

Angular acceleration and acceleration due to field forces don't add energy.

This is because only direct force requires particles at the subatomic to change in size, and hence energy, in order to accelerate. So, adding energy is a necessary part of this type of acceleration.

This is done by the help of the aether, which is limited by the speed of light in order to perform this task. So, we get a time delay between applied force and increase in energy.

This time delay is experienced by us as a resistance to change. Also known as inertia.

So, when we make calculations related to inertial mass, we are in fact dealing with the time delay caused by the aether's inability to act instantaneously.

Angular acceleration

When a moving object is tethered to a central point, either by a string, or by the use of a field force, it undergoes acceleration. But no energy is added or subtracted to the object.

Yet, there's a measurable force involved, and it equates to what we would have to apply in order to achieve linear acceleration of the same magnitude.

So, there's something fundamental going on that connects linear acceleration directly to angular acceleration.

This too must be due to the aether's inability to act instantaneously. But with no energy being added, the mechanism involved must be different.

We cannot use the analogy of a pressure wave in the aether.

But we can nevertheless explain this in terms of matter interacting with the aether. Because all moving particles come with an accompanying pilot wave.

In the case of angular acceleration, there is no pressure wave. But there is a pilot wave, and it too is limited by the speed of light.

The constant need to change the direction of pilot waves, and influence associated particles accordingly, produces the exact same delay as pressure waves.

We can therefore use the concept of inertial mass to make calculations related to both linear and angular acceleration.

Linear acceleration due to applied field forces

In aether physics, the three field forces, magnetism, the electric force, and gravity, have one common denominator. They all operate through manipulation of the aether.

Repelling forces come about when aether particles are drawn into the field between acting bodies, and attracting forces come about when aether particles are expelled.

But this produces no pressure wave. Nor is there any pilot wave involved. Because space itself is manipulated.

So, when an object moves freely under the influence of a field force it does so with its reference frame moving with it. As far as the object is concerned, it remains in a state of rest during its entire flight. It isn't before the object stops moving at the end of its journey that energy is released.

This makes acceleration due to field forces distinctly different from acceleration due to directly applied force, or angular acceleration.

But, we end up with the appearance of inertia nevertheless. Because field forces result in accelerations that are directly proportional to the volume of subatomic particles involved.

This volume is independent of how densely packed the particles are. So, there's a direct relationship between acceleration due to applied field forces and other types of acceleration. Because they too are directly related to the number of particles involved.

Conclusion

Mass isn't something inherent to matter alone. There's no mass inside particles. Rather, mass is an artifact of the aether interacting with matter.

However, as long as scientists deny the existence of an aether, people will keep looking into matter in search of some elusive mass particle that simply isn't there.

Force examples.svg


By Force.png: Penubagderivative work: Arnaud Ramey (talk) - Force.png and File:Compound_pulley.svg, Public Domain, Link